Carlos Alcaraz vs Daniil MedvedevBeijing Semi-final

Beijing · ATP · Semi-final
#2ATP
2162ELO
2088Hard ELO
$4.4MYTD
$65MCAREER
23 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWLWL
2 — 0
Sets
Thursday, 26 September 2024
hard
#9ATP
1977ELO
1962Hard ELO
$2.5MYTD
$52MCAREER
30 yrs · 198 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWLWWL
Alcaraz C.
7-5 6-3
Medvedev D.
Alcaraz C.
762
Medvedev D.
530

Carlos Alcaraz defeated Daniil Medvedev 7-5 6-3 in the Beijing semi-final on hard. The result followed the form book — Carlos Alcaraz came in ranked #2, leading the head-to-head 5–3, defending last year's semi-final. Carlos Alcaraz extended the head-to-head to 6–3.

Key context

Head to head

53
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-03-04Indian Wells MastersSFhardDaniil Medvedev6-3 7-6(3)
2024-07-01WimbledonSFgrassCarlos Alcaraz6-7(1) 6-3 6-4 6-4
2024-03-04Indian Wells MastersFhardCarlos Alcaraz7-6(5) 6-1
2023-11-13Tour FinalsRRhardCarlos Alcaraz6-4 6-4
2023-08-28US OpenSFhardDaniil Medvedev7-6(3) 6-1 3-6 6-3
2023-07-03WimbledonSFgrassCarlos Alcaraz6-3 6-3 6-3
2023-03-06Indian Wells MastersFhardCarlos Alcaraz6-3 6-2
2021-06-28WimbledonR64grassDaniil Medvedev6-4 6-1 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Alcaraz C.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Medvedev D.

Medvedev D.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Alcaraz C.

Serve advantage — Alcaraz C.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Alcaraz C.Medvedev D.
74
Serve
47
95
Return
94

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
65%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
74%
75%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
57%
49%
Service points won·Even
68%
65%
Return points won·Even
42%
40%
Break points saved·Slight edge
66%
61%
Aces / match·Clear edge
5.2
7.5
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.4
4.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (170 vs 157). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
98
96
Break points saved·Even
100
100
Break points won·Even
99
99
Deciding sets·Even
100
99
Tiebreaks·Even
100
99

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
8.3
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.8+126 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.2Hard Elo 1962
8.4Overall Elo 2162
ELO gap
1.6Overall Elo 1977
10.0
H2H
0.0
8.2
Surface form
3.9
7.04-match win streak
Win streak
0.0Lost last 4
Fatigue & Travel
7.3
Minutes 14d
7.8
8.0
Prev. match
7.0
Context
8.5
Defending pts

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
85

Medvedev D.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
22°COvercast
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 59%