Carlos Alcaraz vs Daniil MedvedevTour Finals Round Robin

Tour Finals · ATP · Round Robin
#3ATP
2162ELO
2088Hard ELO
$4.4MYTD
$65MCAREER
23 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWLWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 13 November 2023
hard
#8ATP
1977ELO
1962Hard ELO
$2.5MYTD
$52MCAREER
30 yrs · 198 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWLWWL
Alcaraz C.
6-4 6-4
Medvedev D.
Alcaraz C.
662
Medvedev D.
440

Carlos Alcaraz defeated Daniil Medvedev 6-4 6-4 in the Tour Finals round robin on hard. The result followed the form book — Carlos Alcaraz came in ranked #3, leading the head-to-head 5–3. Carlos Alcaraz extended the head-to-head to 6–3.

Key context

  • Match story: Carlos Alcaraz edged a tight contest from start to finish — 6–4 6–4.

Head to head

53
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-03-04Indian Wells MastersSFhardDaniil Medvedev6-3 7-6(3)
2024-09-26BeijingSFhardCarlos Alcaraz7-5 6-3
2024-07-01WimbledonSFgrassCarlos Alcaraz6-7(1) 6-3 6-4 6-4
2024-03-04Indian Wells MastersFhardCarlos Alcaraz7-6(5) 6-1
2023-08-28US OpenSFhardDaniil Medvedev7-6(3) 6-1 3-6 6-3
2023-07-03WimbledonSFgrassCarlos Alcaraz6-3 6-3 6-3
2023-03-06Indian Wells MastersFhardCarlos Alcaraz6-3 6-2
2021-06-28WimbledonR64grassDaniil Medvedev6-4 6-1 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Alcaraz C.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Medvedev D.

Medvedev D.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Alcaraz C.

Serve advantage — Alcaraz C.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Alcaraz C.Medvedev D.
75
Serve
47
95
Return
94

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
65%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
74%
75%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
57%
49%
Service points won·Even
68%
65%
Return points won·Even
42%
40%
Break points saved·Even
66%
62%
Aces / match·Clear edge
5.2
7.6
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.4
4.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 198). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
98
96
Break points saved·Even
100
100
Break points won·Even
99
99
Deciding sets·Even
100
99
Tiebreaks·Even
100
99

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.6
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.8+126 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.2Hard Elo 1962
8.4Overall Elo 2162
ELO gap
1.6Overall Elo 1977
10.0
H2H
0.0
5.7
Surface form
6.6
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
9.0
Minutes 14d
8.3
3-set count
7.0
8.0
Prev. match
6.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
90

Medvedev D.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast