

Carlos Alcaraz defeated Andrey Rublev 7-5 6-2 in the Tour Finals round robin on hard. The result followed the form book — Carlos Alcaraz came in ranked #3, leading the head-to-head 4–1. Carlos Alcaraz extended the head-to-head to 5–1.
| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-16 | Doha | SF | hard | Carlos Alcaraz | 7-6(3) 6-4 |
| 2025-08-07 | Cincinnati Masters | QF | hard | Carlos Alcaraz | 6-3 4-6 7-5 |
| 2025-06-30 | Wimbledon | R16 | grass | Carlos Alcaraz | 6-7(5) 6-3 6-4 6-4 |
| 2024-11-11 | Tour Finals | RR | hard | Carlos Alcaraz | 6-3 7-6(8) |
| 2024-04-22 | Madrid Masters | QF | clay | Andrey Rublev | 4-6 6-3 6-2 |
Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 199). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Rublev A.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About