Andrey Rublev vs Carlos Alcaraz — Madrid Masters Quarter-final

Madrid Masters · ATP · Quarter-final
Andrey Rublev
RUS7
Andrey Rublev
#13ATP
1902ELO
1872Clay ELO
$1.6MYTD
$34MCAREER
28 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWWLWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 22 April 2024
clay
Carlos Alcaraz
ESP2
Carlos Alcaraz
#2ATP
2162ELO
2102Clay ELO
$4.4MYTD
$65MCAREER
23 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWLWL
Rublev A.
4-6 6-3 6-2
Alcaraz C.
Rublev A.
4662
Alcaraz C.
6321

Andrey Rublev defeated Carlos Alcaraz 4-6 6-3 6-2 in the Madrid Masters quarter-final on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Carlos Alcaraz came in ranked #2, leading the head-to-head 5–0, defending the title. Andrey Rublev claimed a first win over Carlos Alcaraz in six meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 5–1.

Key context

Head to head

0–5
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-02-16DohaSFhardCarlos Alcaraz7-6(3) 6-4
2025-08-07Cincinnati MastersQFhardCarlos Alcaraz6-3 4-6 7-5
2025-06-30WimbledonR16grassCarlos Alcaraz6-7(5) 6-3 6-4 6-4
2024-11-11Tour FinalsRRhardCarlos Alcaraz6-3 7-6(8)
2023-11-13Tour FinalsRRhardCarlos Alcaraz7-5 6-2
View full head-to-head →

Serve vs return

This season
Rublev A.serving76% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Alcaraz C.

Alcaraz C.serving87% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Rublev A.

Serve advantage — Alcaraz C.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Rublev A.Alcaraz C.
14
Serve
—
62
Return
—

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Rublev A.Alcaraz C.
1st serve in·Even
61%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
76%
74%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
52%
57%
Service points won·Even
67%
68%
Return points won·Slight edge
37%
42%
Break points saved·Even
66%
66%
Aces / match·Clear edge
7.9
5.2
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.7
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (150 vs 170). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Rublev A.Alcaraz C.
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
88
98
Break points saved·Even
100
100
Break points won·Dominant
72
99
Deciding sets·Even
97
100
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
92
100

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Rublev A.
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Alcaraz C.
7.5
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 35 days (−0.7)
Form & Matchup
0.5Clay Elo 1872
Surface ELO
9.5+229 Clay Elo edge
0.2Overall Elo 1902
ELO gap
9.8Overall Elo 2162
5.0
H2H
5.0
6.0
Surface form
7.0
0.0Lost last 4
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.9
Minutes 14d
8.0
Prev. match
5.3
Country comfort
9.3
Surface transition
6.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Rublev A.Alcaraz C.
Freshness·
94
—

Rublev A.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
14°CClear
Wind 16 km/hHumidity 33%
Final
Rublev A.[7]
Auger Aliassime F.
4-67-57-5
Semi-finals
Auger Aliassime F.
Lehecka J.[30]
3-3
Rublev A.[7]
Fritz T.[12]
6-46-3
Quarter-finals
Lehecka J.[30]
Medvedev D.[3]
6-40-0
Auger Aliassime F.
Sinner J.[1]
W/O
Fritz T.[12]
Cerundolo F.[21]
6-13-66-3
Rublev A.[7]
Alcaraz C.[2]
4-66-36-2
R16
Sinner J.[1]
Khachanov K.[16]
5-76-36-3
Auger Aliassime F.
Ruud C.[5]
6-47-5
Fritz T.[12]
Hurkacz H.[8]
7-626-4
Rublev A.[7]
Griekspoor T.[24]
6-26-4
Medvedev D.[3]
Bublik A.[17]
7-636-4
Lehecka J.[30]
Nadal R.
7-56-4
Alcaraz C.[2]
Struff J.[23]
6-36-757-64
Cerundolo F.[21]
Zverev A.[4]
6-36-4
R32
Sinner J.[1]
Kotov P.
6-27-5
Auger Aliassime F.
Mensik J.
6-11-0
Khachanov K.[16]
Cobolli F.
7-56-4
Ruud C.[5]
Norrie C.[29]
6-26-4
Medvedev D.[3]
Korda S.[25]
5-77-646-3
Bublik A.[17]
Shelton B.[14]
3-67-626-4
Nadal R.
Cachin P.
6-16-756-3
Lehecka J.[30]
Monteiro T.
6-47-67
Hurkacz H.[8]
Altmaier D.
6-47-62
Fritz T.[12]
Baez S.[18]
6-26-3
Cerundolo F.[21]
Paul T.[15]
6-776-46-2
Zverev A.[4]
Shapovalov D.
6-47-5
Rublev A.[7]
Davidovich Fokina A.[27]
7-6106-4
Struff J.[23]
Humbert U.[13]
7-56-4
Alcaraz C.[2]
Seyboth Wild T.
6-36-3
Griekspoor T.[24]
Rune H.[11]
6-44-66-3
R64
Khachanov K.[16]
Bautista Agut R.
3-66-37-5
Fritz T.[12]
Darderi L.
7-616-4
Paul T.[15]
Klein L.
6-756-16-4
Cerundolo F.[21]
Marozsan F.
6-27-65
Shapovalov D.
Etcheverry T.[26]
7-636-3
Humbert U.[13]
Van De Zandschulp B.
6-36-3
Struff J.[23]
Munar J.
6-17-5
Alcaraz C.[2]
Shevchenko A.
6-26-1
Zverev A.[4]
Coric B.
6-36-2
Ruud C.[5]
Kecmanovic M.
6-46-1
Lehecka J.[30]
Medjedovic H.
7-56-4
Seyboth Wild T.
Musetti L.[28]
6-46-4
Sinner J.[1]
Sonego L.
6-06-3
Kotov P.
Thompson J.[32]
5-76-47-5
Cobolli F.
Jarry N.[22]
6-33-66-3
Mensik J.
Dimitrov G.[9]
6-26-746-3
Auger Aliassime F.
Mannarino A.[19]
6-06-4
Medvedev D.[3]
Arnaldi M.
2-66-46-4
Korda S.[25]
Purcell M.
6-36-3
Bublik A.[17]
Carballes Baena R.
1-66-26-2
Shelton B.[14]
Machac T.
6-06-2
Nadal R.
De Minaur A.[10]
7-666-3
Cachin P.
Tiafoe F.[20]
7-613-66-4
Monteiro T.
Tsitsipas S.[6]
6-46-4
Altmaier D.
Fils A.[31]
6-26-3
Baez S.[18]
Van Assche L.
6-46-726-3
Rublev A.[7]
Bagnis F.
6-16-4
Davidovich Fokina A.[27]
Shang J.
7-56-3
Griekspoor T.[24]
Daniel T.
4-66-36-4
Rune H.[11]
Navone M.
5-77-626-4
Norrie C.[29]
Fonseca J.
6-16-4
Hurkacz H.[8]
Draper J.
6-17-5
R128
Kecmanovic M.
Zhang Z.
6-36-2
Arnaldi M.
Oconnell C.
6-46-1
Monteiro T.
Lajovic D.
6-46-3
Marozsan F.
Karatsev A.
7-667-62
Altmaier D.
Landaluce M.
6-17-5
Machac T.
Ruusuvuori E.
6-41-66-2
Kotov P.
Ramos A.
6-36-4
Sonego L.
Gasquet R.
6-27-5
Cobolli F.
Tabilo A.
5-76-46-4
Mensik J.
Hanfmann Y.
6-47-63
Auger Aliassime F.
Nishioka Y.
4-66-16-4
Fonseca J.
Michelsen A.
4-66-06-2
Purcell M.
Giron M.
4-66-47-62
Carballes Baena R.
Koepfer D.
6-13-67-65
Nadal R.
Blanch D.
6-16-0
Cachin P.
Ofner S.
6-36-3
Medjedovic H.
Kovacevic A.
4-67-56-4
Draper J.
Kokkinakis T.
6-33-67-5
Van Assche L.
Bergs Z.
6-46-706-1
Darderi L.
Monfils G.
6-46-2
Shapovalov D.
Diaz Acosta F.
6-43-66-3
Coric B.
Hassan B.
6-757-56-3
Bagnis F.
Nakashima B.
6-37-65
Shang J.
Moutet C.
6-796-27-610
Daniel T.
Vukic A.
6-26-716-1
Navone M.
Popyrin A.
7-56-2
Van De Zandschulp B.
Eubanks C.
6-36-3
Munar J.
Borges N.
7-56-4
Seyboth Wild T.
Safiullin R.
6-46-4
Shevchenko A.
Rinderknech A.
6-45-76-3
Klein L.
Llamas Ruiz P.
6-14-67-64
Bautista Agut R.
Galan D.
7-644-66-1