Sebastian Korda vs Tommy Pauls Hertogenbosch Quarter-final

s Hertogenbosch · ATP · Quarter-final
#63ATP
1809ELO
1679Grass ELO
$471kYTD
$9.0MCAREER
26 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 10 June 2024
grass
#25ATP
1949ELO
1801Grass ELO
$1.7MYTD
$15MCAREER
29 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWLW
Korda S.
6-4 6-2
Paul T.
Korda S.
662
Paul T.
420

Sebastian Korda defeated Tommy Paul 6-4 6-2 in the s Hertogenbosch quarter-final on grass. The upset overturned the form book — Tommy Paul came in ranked #25. Sebastian Korda extended the head-to-head to 5–2.

Key context

Head to head

42
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-02-16Delray BeachFhardSebastian Korda6-4 6-3
2024-06-17Queen's ClubSFgrassTommy Paul6-4 7-6(2)
2022-08-29US OpenR64hardTommy Paul6-0 3-6 4-6 6-3 6-4
2021-09-27San DiegoR32hardSebastian Korda6-3 5-7 6-1
2021-05-24ParmaSFclaySebastian Korda6-3 6-3
2021-01-04Delray BeachR16hardSebastian Korda4-6 6-3 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Korda S.serving87% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Paul T.

Paul T.serving91% hold

wins 71% of points on serve vs Korda S.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
75%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
55%
Service points won·Even
66%
66%
Return points won·Even
37%
40%
Break points saved·Even
61%
65%
Aces / match·Clear edge
8.6
6.0
Double faults / match·Even
2.1
1.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (113 vs 130). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
87
93
Break points saved·Even
98
99
Break points won·Clear edge
73
87
Deciding sets·Even
96
98
Tiebreaks·Even
94
96

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
Form & Matchup
5.4Grass Elo 1679
Surface ELO
4.6+122 Grass Elo edge
4.9Overall Elo 1809
ELO gap
5.1Overall Elo 1949
5.0
H2H
5.0
5.8
Surface form
6.8
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
0.0
3-set count
0.0
3.0
Surface transition
3.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
86

Paul T.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast