Sebastian Korda vs Tommy PaulDelray Beach Round of 16

Delray Beach · ATP · Round of 16
#63ATP
1809ELO
1765Hard ELO
$471kYTD
$9.0MCAREER
26 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 4 January 2021
hard
#25ATP
1949ELO
1881Hard ELO
$1.7MYTD
$15MCAREER
29 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWLW
Korda S.
4-6 6-3 6-2
Paul T.
Korda S.
4662
Paul T.
6321

Sebastian Korda defeated Tommy Paul 4-6 6-3 6-2 in the Delray Beach round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Tommy Paul came in ranked #25, defending last year's round of 16. Sebastian Korda extended the head-to-head to 5–2.

Key context

Head to head

42
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-02-16Delray BeachFhardSebastian Korda6-4 6-3
2024-06-17Queen's ClubSFgrassTommy Paul6-4 7-6(2)
2024-06-10s HertogenboschQFgrassSebastian Korda6-4 6-2
2022-08-29US OpenR64hardTommy Paul6-0 3-6 4-6 6-3 6-4
2021-09-27San DiegoR32hardSebastian Korda6-3 5-7 6-1
2021-05-24ParmaSFclaySebastian Korda6-3 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Korda S.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Paul T.

Paul T.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Korda S.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Korda S.Paul T.
61
Serve
71
58
Return
54

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
74%
72%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
54%
Service points won·Even
66%
65%
Return points won·Even
37%
39%
Break points saved·Even
62%
64%
Aces / match·Clear edge
8.1
6.1
Double faults / match·Even
2.1
2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (198 vs 199). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
87
93
Break points saved·Even
98
99
Break points won·Clear edge
73
87
Deciding sets·Even
96
98
Tiebreaks·Even
94
96

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
86

Paul T.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast