Jannik Sinner vs Tommy Paul — Canada Masters Semi-final

Canada Masters · ATP · Semi-final
Jannik Sinner
ITA7
Jannik Sinner
#1ATP
2320ELO
2263Hard ELO
$6.9MYTD
$65MCAREER
24 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWWWLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 7 August 2023
hard
Tommy Paul
USA12
Tommy Paul
#24ATP
1949ELO
1881Hard ELO
$1.7MYTD
$15MCAREER
29 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWLW
Sinner J.
6-4 6-4
Paul T.
Sinner J.
662
Paul T.
440

Jannik Sinner defeated Tommy Paul 6-4 6-4 in the Canada Masters semi-final on hard. The result followed the form book — Jannik Sinner came in ranked #1, leading the head-to-head 3–1, defending last year's round of 16. Jannik Sinner extended the head-to-head to 4–1.

Key context

  • Match story: Jannik Sinner edged a tight contest from start to finish — 6–4 6–4.

Head to head

3–1
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-05-07Rome MastersSFclayJannik Sinner1-6 6-0 6-3
2024-08-26US OpenR16hardJannik Sinner7-6(3) 7-6(5) 6-1
2022-06-20EastbourneR16grassTommy Paul6-3 3-6 6-3
2022-05-02Madrid MastersR64clayJannik Sinner6-7(4) 7-6(4) 6-3
View full head-to-head →

Serve vs return

This season
Sinner J.serving91% hold

wins 71% of points on serve vs Paul T.

Paul T.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Sinner J.

Serve advantage — Sinner J.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Sinner J.Paul T.
100
Serve
71
100
Return
54

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Sinner J.Paul T.
1st serve in·Even
62%
62%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
79%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
58%
54%
Service points won·Slight edge
71%
65%
Return points won·Even
41%
39%
Break points saved·Slight edge
74%
64%
Aces / match·Slight edge
7.4
6.2
Double faults / match·Slight edge
1.6
2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 199). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Sinner J.Paul T.
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
100
93
Break points saved·Even
100
99
Break points won·Clear edge
100
87
Deciding sets·Even
100
98
Tiebreaks·Even
100
96

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Sinner J.
7.3
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 35 days (−0.7)
Paul T.
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
10.0+382 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
0.0Hard Elo 1881
10.0Overall Elo 2320
ELO gap
0.0Overall Elo 1949
5.0
H2H
5.0
8.2
Surface form
6.5
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
7.2
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
7.0
7.0
Surface transition
Context
6.0
Defending pts
7.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Sinner J.Paul T.
Freshness·Dominant
43
88

Sinner J.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 109 games (7d) · Paul T.: 10 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
24°CPartly cloudy
Wind 19 km/hHumidity 80%
Final
Sinner J.[7]
De Minaur A.
6-46-1
Semi-finals
Sinner J.[7]
Paul T.[12]
6-46-4
De Minaur A.
Davidovich Fokina A.
6-16-3
Quarter-finals
Paul T.[12]
Alcaraz C.[1]
6-34-66-3
Sinner J.[7]
Monfils G.
6-44-66-3
Davidovich Fokina A.
Mcdonald M.
6-46-2
De Minaur A.
Medvedev D.[2]
7-677-5
R16
Sinner J.[7]
Murray A.
W/O
Mcdonald M.
Raonic M.
6-36-3
Davidovich Fokina A.
Ruud C.[3]
7-644-67-64
De Minaur A.
Fritz T.[8]
7-674-66-1
Alcaraz C.[1]
Hurkacz H.[15]
3-67-627-63
Paul T.[12]
Giron M.
6-36-2
Monfils G.
Vukic A.
6-46-4
Medvedev D.[2]
Musetti L.[16]
6-46-4
R32
Paul T.[12]
Cerundolo F.
7-626-726-3
Monfils G.
Tsitsipas S.[4]
6-46-3
Vukic A.
Korda S.
6-34-67-65
Murray A.
Purcell M.
7-623-67-5
Sinner J.[7]
Berrettini M.
6-46-3
Fritz T.[8]
Humbert U.
7-673-66-3
Mcdonald M.
Rublev A.[6]
6-46-3
Alcaraz C.[1]
Shelton B.
6-37-63
Hurkacz H.[15]
Kecmanovic M.
5-76-36-0
Raonic M.
Daniel T.
6-46-3
Ruud C.[3]
Lehecka J.
7-666-4
De Minaur A.
Diallo G.
6-47-5
Musetti L.[16]
Kokkinakis T.
4-67-56-4
Medvedev D.[2]
Arnaldi M.
6-27-5
Giron M.
Rune H.[5]
6-24-66-3
Davidovich Fokina A.
Zverev A.[13]
6-16-2
R64
Giron M.
Ruusuvuori E.
7-647-66
Korda S.
Etcheverry T.
6-36-2
Vukic A.
Coric B.[14]
6-26-3
Murray A.
Sonego L.
7-636-0
Davidovich Fokina A.
Wolf J.
6-06-2
Lehecka J.
Nakashima B.
7-53-67-62
Arnaldi M.
Pospisil V.
6-46-4
Paul T.[12]
Schwartzman D.
6-33-66-4
Kecmanovic M.
Garin C.
7-624-66-4
Hurkacz H.[15]
Bublik A.
6-37-62
Cerundolo F.
Galarneau A.
6-24-66-4
Berrettini M.
Barrere G.
6-46-3
Mcdonald M.
Karatsev A.
6-36-4
Daniel T.
Mannarino A.
7-656-4
Raonic M.
Tiafoe F.[9]
6-7127-646-3
Zverev A.[13]
Griekspoor T.
6-47-63
Humbert U.
Jarry N.
4-66-36-4
Diallo G.
Evans D.
7-647-5
De Minaur A.
Norrie C.[11]
7-56-4
Musetti L.[16]
Nishioka Y.
6-46-1
Kokkinakis T.
Zhang Z.
7-56-4
Monfils G.
Eubanks C.
7-636-746-1
Shelton B.
Zapata Miralles B.
7-616-4
Purcell M.
Auger Aliassime F.[10]
6-46-4