Jannik Sinner vs Tommy Paul — Madrid Masters Round of 64

Madrid Masters · ATP · Round of 64
Jannik Sinner
ITA10
Jannik Sinner
#1ATP
2320ELO
2216Clay ELO
$6.9MYTD
$65MCAREER
24 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWWLWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 2 May 2022
clay
Tommy Paul
USA
Tommy Paul
#25ATP
1949ELO
1886Clay ELO
$1.7MYTD
$15MCAREER
29 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWLW
Sinner J.
6-7 7-6 6-3
Paul T.
Sinner J.
647762
Paul T.
776431

Jannik Sinner defeated Tommy Paul 6-7 7-6 6-3 in the Madrid Masters round of 64 on clay. The result followed the form book — Jannik Sinner came in ranked #1, leading the head-to-head 3–1, defending last year's round of 32. Jannik Sinner extended the head-to-head to 4–1.

Key context

Head to head

3–1
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-05-07Rome MastersSFclayJannik Sinner1-6 6-0 6-3
2024-08-26US OpenR16hardJannik Sinner7-6(3) 7-6(5) 6-1
2023-08-07Canada MastersSFhardJannik Sinner6-4 6-4
2022-06-20EastbourneR16grassTommy Paul6-3 3-6 6-3
View full head-to-head →

Serve vs return

This season
Sinner J.serving88% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Paul T.

Paul T.serving74% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Sinner J.

Serve advantage — Sinner J.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Sinner J.Paul T.
99
Serve
34
91
Return
—

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Sinner J.Paul T.
1st serve in·Even
62%
62%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
79%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
58%
54%
Service points won·Slight edge
71%
65%
Return points won·Even
41%
39%
Break points saved·Slight edge
74%
64%
Aces / match·Slight edge
7.4
6.2
Double faults / match·Slight edge
1.6
2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 199). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Sinner J.Paul T.
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
100
93
Break points saved·Even
100
99
Break points won·Clear edge
100
87
Deciding sets·Even
100
98
Tiebreaks·Even
100
96

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Sinner J.
8.1
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Paul T.
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
9.4+330 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
0.6Clay Elo 1886
10.0Overall Elo 2320
ELO gap
0.0Overall Elo 1949
5.0
H2H
5.0
6.8
Surface form
4.7
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
9.1
4.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Sinner J.Paul T.
Freshness·Dominant
59
86

Sinner J.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 95 games (7d) · Paul T.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
16°COvercast
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 66%
Final
Alcaraz C.[7]
Zverev A.[2]
6-36-1
Semi-finals
Alcaraz C.[7]
Djokovic N.[1]
6-757-57-65
Zverev A.[2]
Tsitsipas S.[4]
6-43-66-2
Quarter-finals
Djokovic N.[1]
Hurkacz H.[12]
6-36-4
Alcaraz C.[7]
Nadal R.[3]
6-21-66-3
Tsitsipas S.[4]
Rublev A.[6]
6-32-66-4
Zverev A.[2]
Auger Aliassime F.[8]
6-37-5
R16
Djokovic N.[1]
Murray A.
W/O
Zverev A.[2]
Musetti L.
6-31-0
Hurkacz H.[12]
Lajovic D.
7-56-3
Nadal R.[3]
Goffin D.
6-35-77-69
Alcaraz C.[7]
Norrie C.[9]
6-46-746-3
Rublev A.[6]
Evans D.
7-677-5
Tsitsipas S.[4]
Dimitrov G.
6-36-4
Auger Aliassime F.[8]
Sinner J.[10]
6-16-2
R32
Goffin D.
Van De Zandschulp B.
6-46-2
Zverev A.[2]
Cilic M.
4-66-46-4
Djokovic N.[1]
Monfils G.
6-36-2
Murray A.
Shapovalov D.[14]
6-13-66-2
Hurkacz H.[12]
Davidovich Fokina A.
6-44-67-65
Lajovic D.
Ruud C.[5]
7-672-66-4
Nadal R.[3]
Kecmanovic M.
6-17-64
Norrie C.[9]
Isner J.
6-46-756-4
Alcaraz C.[7]
Basilashvili N.
6-37-5
Rublev A.[6]
Draper J.
2-66-47-5
Evans D.
Bautista Agut R.[17]
6-35-77-62
Dimitrov G.
Schwartzman D.[13]
6-06-3
Tsitsipas S.[4]
Pouille L.
6-36-4
Auger Aliassime F.[8]
Garin C.
6-36-0
Sinner J.[10]
De Minaur A.
6-46-1
Musetti L.
Korda S.
6-46-3
R64
Hurkacz H.[12]
Dellien H.
7-56-7116-3
Murray A.
Thiem D.
6-36-4
Dimitrov G.
Cressy M.
6-27-64
Schwartzman D.[13]
Paire B.
6-26-756-1
Evans D.
Delbonis F.
6-36-4
Monfils G.
Gimeno Valero C.
6-36-0
Shapovalov D.[14]
Humbert U.
7-616-3
Davidovich Fokina A.
Harris L.
7-56-3
Lajovic D.
Coric B.
6-34-66-4
Kecmanovic M.
Bublik A.
6-47-5
Goffin D.
Karatsev A.
6-27-5
Van De Zandschulp B.
Carreno Busta P.[16]
6-767-616-3
Norrie C.[9]
Kwon S.
7-57-5
Isner J.
Krajinovic F.
7-686-4
Basilashvili N.
Fognini F.
7-56-4
Draper J.
Sonego L.
6-46-3
Bautista Agut R.[17]
Brooksby J.
6-06-2
Pouille L.
Khachanov K.
6-36-4
Garin C.
Tiafoe F.
6-16-3
De Minaur A.
Martinez P.
7-621-66-3
Sinner J.[10]
Paul T.
6-747-646-3
Korda S.
Opelka R.[15]
6-37-5
Musetti L.
Ivashka I.
2-66-37-5
Cilic M.
Ramos A.
6-33-66-4