Jannik Sinner vs Tommy Paul — Rome Masters Semi-final

Rome Masters · ATP · Semi-final
Jannik Sinner
ITA1
Jannik Sinner
#1ATP
2320ELO
2216Clay ELO
$6.9MYTD
$65MCAREER
24 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWWWLWW
2 — 1
Sets
Wednesday, 7 May 2025
clay
Tommy Paul
USA11
Tommy Paul
#24ATP
1949ELO
1886Clay ELO
$1.7MYTD
$15MCAREER
29 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWLW
Sinner J.
1-6 6-0 6-3
Paul T.
Sinner J.
1662
Paul T.
6031

Jannik Sinner defeated Tommy Paul 1-6 6-0 6-3 in the Rome Masters semi-final on clay. The result followed the form book — Jannik Sinner came in ranked #1, leading the head-to-head 3–1. Jannik Sinner extended the head-to-head to 4–1.

Key context

Head to head

3–1
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-08-26US OpenR16hardJannik Sinner7-6(3) 7-6(5) 6-1
2023-08-07Canada MastersSFhardJannik Sinner6-4 6-4
2022-06-20EastbourneR16grassTommy Paul6-3 3-6 6-3
2022-05-02Madrid MastersR64clayJannik Sinner6-7(4) 7-6(4) 6-3
View full head-to-head →

Serve vs return

This season
Sinner J.serving89% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Paul T.

Paul T.serving74% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Sinner J.

Serve advantage — Sinner J.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Sinner J.Paul T.
99
Serve
34
91
Return
—

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Sinner J.Paul T.
1st serve in·Even
63%
61%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
80%
74%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
59%
54%
Service points won·Slight edge
72%
66%
Return points won·Even
42%
39%
Break points saved·Slight edge
74%
63%
Aces / match·Slight edge
7.3
6.5
Double faults / match·Slight edge
1.4
2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (94 vs 66). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Sinner J.Paul T.
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
100
93
Break points saved·Even
100
99
Break points won·Clear edge
100
87
Deciding sets·Even
100
98
Tiebreaks·Even
100
96

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Sinner J.
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 114 days (−1.5)
Paul T.
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
9.4+330 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
0.6Clay Elo 1886
10.0Overall Elo 2320
ELO gap
0.0Overall Elo 1949
5.0
H2H
5.0
7.6
Surface form
6.7
10.020-match win streak
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
7.0
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
7.0
7.9
Country comfort
6.0
Surface transition
Context
5.0
Defending pts
8.5

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Sinner J.Paul T.
Freshness·Dominant
43
88

Sinner J.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 109 games (7d) · Paul T.: 10 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
17°CDrizzle
Wind 14 km/hHumidity 75%
Final
Alcaraz C.[3]
Sinner J.[1]
7-656-1
Semi-finals
Sinner J.[1]
Paul T.[11]
1-66-06-3
Alcaraz C.[3]
Musetti L.[8]
6-37-64
Quarter-finals
Alcaraz C.[3]
Draper J.[5]
6-46-4
Paul T.[11]
Hurkacz H.[30]
7-646-3
Musetti L.[8]
Zverev A.[2]
7-616-4
Sinner J.[1]
Ruud C.[6]
6-06-1
R16
Musetti L.[8]
Medvedev D.[10]
7-56-4
Paul T.[11]
De Minaur A.[7]
7-56-3
Alcaraz C.[3]
Khachanov K.[23]
6-33-67-5
Zverev A.[2]
Fils A.[13]
7-636-1
Sinner J.[1]
Cerundolo F.[17]
7-626-3
Ruud C.[6]
Munar J.
6-36-4
Hurkacz H.[30]
Mensik J.[20]
7-654-67-65
Draper J.[5]
Moutet C.
1-66-46-3
R32
Ruud C.[6]
Berrettini M.[29]
7-52-0
Hurkacz H.[30]
Giron M.
6-31-66-1
Fils A.[13]
Tsitsipas S.[18]
2-66-46-2
Paul T.[11]
Machac T.[19]
6-36-756-4
Alcaraz C.[3]
Djere L.
7-626-2
Munar J.
Korda S.[22]
6-46-2
Medvedev D.[10]
Popyrin A.[24]
6-46-1
Draper J.[5]
Kopriva V.
6-46-3
De Minaur A.[7]
Dellien H.
6-46-4
Moutet C.
Rune H.[9]
7-55-77-64
Mensik J.[20]
Marozsan F.
6-47-62
Sinner J.[1]
De Jong J.
6-46-2
Khachanov K.[23]
Passaro F.
6-36-0
Cerundolo F.[17]
Ofner S.
6-26-4
Musetti L.[8]
Nakashima B.[28]
6-46-3
Zverev A.[2]
Gaubas V.
6-46-0
R64
De Minaur A.[7]
Nardi L.
6-47-5
Moutet C.
Humbert U.[21]
6-34-0
Giron M.
Fritz T.[4]
7-647-63
Popyrin A.[24]
Taberner C.
6-17-64
Passaro F.
Dimitrov G.[14]
7-56-3
Nakashima B.[28]
Thompson J.
W/O
Sinner J.[1]
Navone M.
6-36-4
Marozsan F.
Rublev A.[16]
7-54-66-3
Khachanov K.[23]
Burruchaga R.
6-45-76-1
Munar J.
Shelton B.[12]
6-26-1
Djere L.
Michelsen A.[31]
6-06-3
Draper J.[5]
Darderi L.
6-16-4
Tsitsipas S.[18]
Muller A.
6-27-63
Ruud C.[6]
Bublik A.
6-44-66-3
Dellien H.
Seyboth Wild T.
4-66-36-4
De Jong J.
Davidovich Fokina A.[25]
6-06-2
Korda S.[22]
Vukic A.
6-36-4
Mensik J.[20]
Gigante M.
7-647-5
Kopriva V.
Baez S.[32]
3-66-46-4
Medvedev D.[10]
Norrie C.
6-46-2
Paul T.[11]
Bautista Agut R.
6-16-4
Machac T.[19]
Tien L.
6-46-4
Musetti L.[8]
Virtanen O.
6-36-2
Rune H.[9]
Comesana F.
3-66-36-4
Zverev A.[2]
Ugo Carabelli C.
6-26-1
Alcaraz C.[3]
Lajovic D.
6-36-3
Gaubas V.
Shapovalov D.[27]
6-36-4
Berrettini M.[29]
Fearnley J.
6-47-60
Hurkacz H.[30]
Martinez P.
6-17-5
Fils A.[13]
Griekspoor T.
6-26-2
Ofner S.
Tiafoe F.[15]
6-26-726-3
Cerundolo F.[17]
Jarry N.
7-646-3
R128
Ofner S.
Carballes Baena R.
6-30-0
Gigante M.
Rinderknech A.
7-647-64
Virtanen O.
Medjedovic H.
6-46-4
Passaro F.
Tseng C.
6-02-66-3
Giron M.
Diallo G.
3-66-36-4
De Jong J.
Shevchenko A.
6-26-4
Norrie C.
Oconnell C.
6-36-2
Griekspoor T.
Kecmanovic M.
4-66-36-0
Navone M.
Cina F.
6-36-3
Darderi L.
Yunchaokete B.
7-646-3
Vukic A.
Moreno De Alboran N.
7-626-2
Muller A.
Lehecka J.
2-66-37-65
Seyboth Wild T.
Borges N.
6-14-66-4
Ugo Carabelli C.
Carreno Busta P.
6-21-66-3
Jarry N.
Gaston H.
7-646-4
Comesana F.
Altmaier D.
6-17-5
Lajovic D.
Nishioka Y.
7-56-1
Munar J.
Barrios Vera T.
4-66-27-5
Djere L.
Etcheverry T.
6-36-2
Tien L.
Opelka R.
6-47-611
Kopriva V.
Halys Q.
6-46-3
Gaubas V.
Dzumhur D.
7-632-66-4
Taberner C.
Kovacevic A.
6-31-67-5
Nardi L.
Cobolli F.
6-36-4
Fearnley J.
Fognini F.
6-26-3
Moutet C.
Hijikata R.
3-66-17-5
Martinez P.
Bellucci M.
6-46-2
Bautista Agut R.
Arnaldi M.
6-46-3
Burruchaga R.
Sonego L.
6-26-3
Bublik A.
Safiullin R.
6-37-64
Thompson J.
Mpetshi Perricard G.
3-66-37-65
Marozsan F.
Fonseca J.
6-37-64