Tommy Paul vs Jannik Sinner — Eastbourne Round of 16

Eastbourne · ATP · Round of 16
Tommy Paul
USA
Tommy Paul
#25ATP
1949ELO
1801Grass ELO
$1.7MYTD
$15MCAREER
29 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 20 June 2022
grass
Jannik Sinner
ITA2
Jannik Sinner
#1ATP
2320ELO
2088Grass ELO
$6.9MYTD
$65MCAREER
24 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWWLWWW
Paul T.
6-3 3-6 6-3
Sinner J.
Paul T.
6362
Sinner J.
3631

Tommy Paul defeated Jannik Sinner 6-3 3-6 6-3 in the Eastbourne round of 16 on grass. The upset overturned the form book — Jannik Sinner came in ranked #1, leading the head-to-head 4–0. Tommy Paul claimed a first win over Jannik Sinner in five meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 4–1.

Key context

  • Match story: Tommy Paul closed it out in three sets, 6–3 3–6 6–3.

Head to head

0–4
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-05-07Rome MastersSFclayJannik Sinner1-6 6-0 6-3
2024-08-26US OpenR16hardJannik Sinner7-6(3) 7-6(5) 6-1
2023-08-07Canada MastersSFhardJannik Sinner6-4 6-4
2022-05-02Madrid MastersR64clayJannik Sinner6-7(4) 7-6(4) 6-3
View full head-to-head →

Serve vs return

This season
Paul T.serving84% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Sinner J.

Sinner J.serving94% hold

wins 74% of points on serve vs Paul T.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Paul T.Sinner J.
1st serve in·Even
62%
62%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
73%
79%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
58%
Service points won·Slight edge
65%
71%
Return points won·Even
39%
41%
Break points saved·Slight edge
64%
74%
Aces / match·Slight edge
6.0
7.4
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.1
1.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (199 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Paul T.Sinner J.
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
93
100
Break points saved·Even
99
100
Break points won·Clear edge
87
100
Deciding sets·Even
98
100
Tiebreaks·Even
96
100

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Paul T.
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Sinner J.
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Injury return: 28 days (−0.3)
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
Form & Matchup
0.8Grass Elo 1801
Surface ELO
9.2+288 Grass Elo edge
0.0Overall Elo 1949
ELO gap
10.0Overall Elo 2320
5.0
H2H
5.0
5.0
Surface form
2.3
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
5.6
Minutes 14d
4.0
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
Surface transition
3.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Paul T.Sinner J.
Freshness·Dominant
86
59

Paul T.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Sinner J.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 95 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Final
Fritz T.[3]
Cressy M.
6-26-747-64
Semi-finals
Fritz T.[3]
De Minaur A.[6]
6-16-756-3
Cressy M.
Draper J.
7-656-726-3
Quarter-finals
Cressy M.
Norrie C.[1]
7-57-5
De Minaur A.[6]
Paul T.
6-24-66-4
Draper J.
Peniston R.
6-36-3
Fritz T.[3]
Bublik A.
6-36-2
R16
Norrie C.[1]
Nakashima B.
6-46-2
Bublik A.
Millman J.
6-46-2
De Minaur A.[6]
Sonego L.
7-636-2
Paul T.
Sinner J.[2]
6-33-66-3
Fritz T.[3]
Monteiro T.
7-56-3
Cressy M.
Evans D.
7-626-4
Peniston R.
Martinez P.
7-683-66-3
Draper J.
Schwartzman D.[4]
7-57-63
R32
Martinez P.
Davidovich Fokina A.
1-67-660-0
Nakashima B.
Clarke J.
6-16-3
Peniston R.
Rune H.[8]
4-67-656-1
Monteiro T.
Humbert U.
6-726-36-4
Paul T.
Cerundolo F.
4-67-626-4
Sonego L.
Duckworth J.
4-67-657-61
De Minaur A.[6]
Garin C.
6-36-3
Bublik A.
Tiafoe F.[7]
5-77-646-0
Evans D.
Mannarino A.
6-46-3
Millman J.
Korda S.
6-37-65
Draper J.
Brooksby J.
6-26-2
Cressy M.
Opelka R.[5]
6-36-1