Elena Rybakina vs Paula Badosa — Miami Round of 32

Miami · WTA · Round of 32
Elena Rybakina
KAZ10
Elena Rybakina
#2WTA
2122ELO
2110Hard ELO
$4.4MYTD
$29MCAREER
27 yrs · 184 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWLWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 20 March 2023
hard
Paula Badosa
ESP21
Paula Badosa
#115WTA
1780ELO
1748Hard ELO
28 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWLLWWL
Rybakina E.
3-6 7-5 6-3
Badosa P.
Rybakina E.
3762
Badosa P.
6531

Elena Rybakina defeated Paula Badosa 3-6 7-5 6-3 in the Miami round of 32 on hard. The result followed the form book — Elena Rybakina came in ranked #2, leading the head-to-head 4–3, defending last year's round of 32. Elena Rybakina extended the head-to-head to 5–3.

Key context

Head to head

4–3
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-01-04BrisbaneR16hardElena Rybakina6-3 6-2
2025-02-17DubaiR16hardElena Rybakina4-6 7-6(8) 7-6(2)
2023-03-06Indian WellsR32hardElena Rybakina6-3 7-5
2022-11-09BJK Cup Finals RR: ESP vs KAZRRhardPaula Badosa6-2 3-6 6-4
2022-04-18StuttgartR16clayPaula Badosa6-2 4-6 7-6(4)
2021-08-16CincinnatiR16hardPaula Badosa6-2 7-6(5)
2019-07-15BucharestR32clayElena Rybakina7-5 7-6(4)
View full head-to-head →

Serve vs return

This season
Rybakina E.serving84% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Badosa P.

Badosa P.serving77% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Rybakina E.

Serve advantage — Rybakina E.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Rybakina E.Badosa P.
100
Serve
21
34
Return
19

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Rybakina E.Badosa P.
1st serve in·Even
59%
58%
1st serve points won·Even
73%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
46%
Service points won·Slight edge
64%
59%
Return points won·Even
43%
44%
Break points saved·Even
64%
60%
Aces / match·Clear edge
6.9
4.5
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.8
5.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 131). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Rybakina E.Badosa P.
Clutch Rating·Even
92
93
Break points saved·Even
98
95
Break points won·Even
96
94
Deciding sets·Even
97
95
Tiebreaks·Even
93
94

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Rybakina E.
8.8
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Badosa P.
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
10.0+362 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
0.0Hard Elo 1748
10.0Overall Elo 2122
ELO gap
0.0Overall Elo 1780
3.9
H2H
6.1
8.7
Surface form
4.7
9.06-match win streak
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
3.1
Minutes 14d
8.1
7.0
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
8.0
6.0
Country comfort
6.1
Context
6.0
Defending pts
7.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Rybakina E.Badosa P.
Freshness·Dominant
92
63

Rybakina E.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Badosa P.: 2 days rest · 5 matches, 98 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
19°COvercast
Wind 18 km/hHumidity 73%

Draw

Final
Kvitova P.[15]
Rybakina E.[10]
7-6146-2
Semi-finals
Kvitova P.[15]
Cirstea S.
7-56-4
Rybakina E.[10]
Pegula J.[3]
7-636-4
Quarter-finals
Kvitova P.[15]
Alexandrova E.[18]
6-43-66-3
Cirstea S.
Sabalenka A.[2]
6-46-4
Rybakina E.[10]
Trevisan M.[25]
6-36-0
Pegula J.[3]
Potapova A.[27]
4-66-37-62
R16
Sabalenka A.[2]
Krejcikova B.[16]
6-36-2
Alexandrova E.[18]
Andreescu B.
7-600-2
Trevisan M.[25]
Ostapenko J.[24]
6-36-3
Rybakina E.[10]
Mertens E.
6-46-3
Pegula J.[3]
Linette M.[20]
6-17-5
Kvitova P.[15]
Gracheva V.
7-57-65
Cirstea S.
Vondrousova M.
7-636-4
Potapova A.[27]
Zheng Q.[23]
6-47-64
R32
Trevisan M.[25]
Liu C.
4-67-56-4
Ostapenko J.[24]
Haddad Maia B.[13]
6-24-66-3
Rybakina E.[10]
Badosa P.[21]
3-67-56-3
Mertens E.
Martic P.[29]
6-46-3
Pegula J.[3]
Collins D.[30]
6-17-60
Sabalenka A.[2]
Bouzkova M.[31]
6-16-2
Andreescu B.
Kenin S.
6-46-4
Linette M.[20]
Azarenka V.[14]
7-632-66-4
Cirstea S.
Muchova K.
7-56-1
Zheng Q.[23]
Samsonova L.[12]
5-77-656-3
Potapova A.[27]
Gauff C.[6]
6-787-56-2
Alexandrova E.[18]
Bencic B.[9]
7-686-3
Kvitova P.[15]
Vekic D.[22]
6-47-63
Krejcikova B.[16]
Keys M.[19]
7-646-3
Gracheva V.
Frech M.
6-16-2
Vondrousova M.
Pliskova K.[17]
6-16-2
R64
Mertens E.
Kasatkina D.[8]
4-66-26-2
Azarenka V.[14]
Giorgi C.
6-36-1
Kenin S.
Kalinina A.[28]
6-36-4
Bencic B.[9]
Fernandez L.
6-16-1
Kvitova P.[15]
Noskova L.
6-36-0
Vekic D.[22]
Brengle M.
4-66-46-3
Krejcikova B.[16]
Sasnovich A.
6-36-2
Frech M.
Andreeva E.
4-66-16-1
Liu C.
Grabher J.
6-46-3
Linette M.[20]
Rodina E.
6-36-4
Collins D.[30]
Tomova V.
7-636-2
Sabalenka A.[2]
Rogers S.
6-46-3
Muchova K.
Zhu L.[32]
6-46-2
Trevisan M.[25]
Hibino N.
6-46-3
Ostapenko J.[24]
Bjorklund M.
6-36-4
Haddad Maia B.[13]
Martincova T.
7-640-66-0
Badosa P.[21]
Siegemund L.
7-624-66-2
Martic P.[29]
Wang X.
6-36-3
Samsonova L.[12]
Golubic V.
6-16-1
Zheng Q.[23]
Begu I.
2-66-16-1
Andreescu B.
Sakkari M.[7]
5-76-36-4
Gracheva V.
Jabeur O.[4]
6-26-2
Pliskova K.[17]
Wang X.
6-26-4
Vondrousova M.
Kudermetova V.[11]
6-46-2
Keys M.[19]
Montgomery R.
6-46-4
Pegula J.[3]
Sebov K.
6-36-1
Rybakina E.[10]
Kalinskaya A.
7-54-66-3
Cirstea S.
Garcia C.[5]
6-26-3
Potapova A.[27]
Kostyuk M.
6-16-3
Gauff C.[6]
Marino R.
6-46-3
Alexandrova E.[18]
Townsend T.
6-35-76-4
Bouzkova M.[31]
Blinkova A.
3-66-46-3
R128
Liu C.
Siniakova K.
3-63-3
Giorgi C.
Kanepi K.
7-646-747-64
Brengle M.
Anisimova A.
7-655-2
Kenin S.
Hunter S.
6-07-65
Gracheva V.
Zanevska M.
6-17-5
Wang X.
Fruhvirtova B.
6-07-5
Siegemund L.
Sherif M.
6-36-4
Blinkova A.
Niemeier J.
6-46-1
Andreeva E.
Krueger A.
7-56-2
Kalinskaya A.
Jimenez Kasintseva V.
6-46-2
Martincova T.
Korpatsch T.
4-66-46-3
Hibino N.
Kovinic D.
6-36-3
Sebov K.
Fruhvirtova L.
6-24-66-4
Tomova V.
Schmiedlova A.
7-56-2
Rodina E.
Pera B.
6-36-4
Golubic V.
Baptiste H.
7-636-1
Kostyuk M.
Cocciaretto E.
6-36-2
Andreescu B.
Raducanu E.
6-33-66-2
Townsend T.
Bondar A.
6-46-0
Fernandez L.
Tsurenko L.
6-46-3
Muchova K.
Teichmann J.
6-06-2
Vondrousova M.
Maria T.
6-46-1
Sasnovich A.
Galfi D.
6-37-65
Montgomery R.
Bogdan A.
3-66-36-3
Marino R.
Putintseva Y.
7-646-2
Begu I.
Eala A.
6-27-5
Cirstea S.
Contreras Gomez F.
7-666-2
Bjorklund M.
Paolini J.
4-66-46-4
Mertens E.
Parks A.
6-16-4
Noskova L.
Bronzetti L.
6-36-4
Wang X.
Friedsam A.
3-66-46-2
Rogers S.
Stephens S.
6-43-66-2