Elise Mertens vs Daria KasatkinaMiami Round of 64

Miami · WTA · Round of 64
#24WTA
1894ELO
1847Hard ELO
$1.6MYTD
$19MCAREER
30 yrs · 179 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWLWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 20 March 2023
hard
#63WTA
1795ELO
1757Hard ELO
29 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLLLWWL
Mertens E.
4-6 6-2 6-2
Kasatkina D.
Mertens E.
4662
Kasatkina D.
6221

Elise Mertens defeated Daria Kasatkina 4-6 6-2 6-2 in the Miami round of 64 on hard. The result followed the form book — Elise Mertens came in ranked #24, defending last year's round of 64. Elise Mertens narrowed the head-to-head to 6–2.

Key context

Head to head

16
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-02-08DohaR32hardDaria Kasatkina6-4 6-0
2023-08-07MontrealR64hardDaria Kasatkina6-4 6-2
2023-07-31WashingtonR32hardDaria Kasatkina6-3 7-5
2022-01-10SydneyR16hardDaria Kasatkina6-3 6-4
2021-08-02San JoseSFhardDaria Kasatkina6-3 6-2
2019-04-22StuttgartR32clayDaria Kasatkina7-6(8) 7-5
2017-08-21New HavenR16hardElise Mertens6-2 7-5

Serve vs return

This season
Mertens E.serving64% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Kasatkina D.

Kasatkina D.serving62% hold

wins 55% of points on serve vs Mertens E.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Mertens E.Kasatkina D.
51
Serve
0
54
Return
95

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
56%
70%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
68%
60%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
46%
41%
Service points won·Even
58%
54%
Return points won·Even
45%
48%
Break points saved·Even
56%
54%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.0
1.5
Double faults / match·Even
5.0
4.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (172 vs 184). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
80
78
Break points saved·Slight edge
90
80
Break points won·Even
96
100
Deciding sets·Clear edge
76
93
Tiebreaks·Dominant
75
47

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.1+90 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.9Hard Elo 1757
6.2Overall Elo 1894
ELO gap
3.8Overall Elo 1795
0.0
H2H
10.0
5.1
Surface form
4.6
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
9.2
Minutes 14d
8.4
9.0
Prev. match
9.0
5.1
Country comfort
5.4
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
84
95

Mertens E.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 21 games (7d) · Kasatkina D.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
19°COvercast
Wind 18 km/hHumidity 73%

Draw