Daria Kasatkina vs Elise MertensMontreal Round of 64

Montreal · WTA · Round of 64
#63WTA
1795ELO
1757Hard ELO
29 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLLLWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 7 August 2023
hard
#24WTA
1894ELO
1847Hard ELO
$1.6MYTD
$19MCAREER
30 yrs · 179 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWLWL
Kasatkina D.
6-4 6-2
Mertens E.
Kasatkina D.
662
Mertens E.
420

Daria Kasatkina defeated Elise Mertens 6-4 6-2 in the Montreal round of 64 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Elise Mertens came in ranked #24. Daria Kasatkina extended the head-to-head to 6–2.

Key context

Head to head

52
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-02-08DohaR32hardDaria Kasatkina6-4 6-0
2023-07-31WashingtonR32hardDaria Kasatkina6-3 7-5
2023-03-20MiamiR64hardElise Mertens4-6 6-2 6-2
2022-01-10SydneyR16hardDaria Kasatkina6-3 6-4
2021-08-02San JoseSFhardDaria Kasatkina6-3 6-2
2019-04-22StuttgartR32clayDaria Kasatkina7-6(8) 7-5
2017-08-21New HavenR16hardElise Mertens6-2 7-5

Serve vs return

This season
Kasatkina D.serving62% hold

wins 55% of points on serve vs Mertens E.

Mertens E.serving64% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Kasatkina D.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Kasatkina D.Mertens E.
0
Serve
51
95
Return
54

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
70%
56%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
60%
68%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
41%
46%
Service points won·Even
54%
58%
Return points won·Even
48%
45%
Break points saved·Even
54%
56%
Aces / match·Clear edge
1.5
4.0
Double faults / match·Even
4.7
5.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (184 vs 172). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
78
80
Break points saved·Slight edge
80
90
Break points won·Even
100
96
Deciding sets·Clear edge
93
76
Tiebreaks·Dominant
47
75

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.9Hard Elo 1757
Surface ELO
6.1+90 Hard Elo edge
3.8Overall Elo 1795
ELO gap
6.2Overall Elo 1894
7.3
H2H
2.7
4.1
Surface form
5.7
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
8.0
Minutes 14d
9.0
8.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
92
81

Kasatkina D.: 10 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Mertens E.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 41 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
22°COvercast
Wind 15 km/hHumidity 68%

Draw