Daria Kasatkina vs Elise MertensDoha Round of 32

Doha · WTA · Round of 32
#65WTA
1795ELO
1757Hard ELO
29 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLLLWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Sunday, 8 February 2026
hard
#27WTA
1894ELO
1847Hard ELO
$1.6MYTD
$19MCAREER
30 yrs · 179 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWLWL
Kasatkina D.
6-4 6-0
Mertens E.
Kasatkina D.
662
Mertens E.
400

Daria Kasatkina defeated Elise Mertens 6-4 6-0 in the Doha round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Elise Mertens came in ranked #27, defending last year's round of 16. Daria Kasatkina extended the head-to-head to 6–2.

Key context

Head to head

52
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-08-07MontrealR64hardDaria Kasatkina6-4 6-2
2023-07-31WashingtonR32hardDaria Kasatkina6-3 7-5
2023-03-20MiamiR64hardElise Mertens4-6 6-2 6-2
2022-01-10SydneyR16hardDaria Kasatkina6-3 6-4
2021-08-02San JoseSFhardDaria Kasatkina6-3 6-2
2019-04-22StuttgartR32clayDaria Kasatkina7-6(8) 7-5
2017-08-21New HavenR16hardElise Mertens6-2 7-5

Serve vs return

This season
Kasatkina D.serving54% hold

wins 51% of points on serve vs Mertens E.

Mertens E.serving67% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Kasatkina D.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Kasatkina D.Mertens E.
0
Serve
51
95
Return
54

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
70%
62%
1st serve points won·Clear edge
57%
71%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
41%
49%
Service points won·Slight edge
52%
63%
Return points won·Even
51%
47%
Break points saved·Even
53%
55%
Aces / match·Clear edge
1.9
4.2
Double faults / match·Dominant
6.4
3.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (16 vs 12). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
78
80
Break points saved·Slight edge
80
90
Break points won·Even
100
96
Deciding sets·Clear edge
93
76
Tiebreaks·Dominant
47
75

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
7.3
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.9Hard Elo 1757
Surface ELO
6.1+90 Hard Elo edge
3.8Overall Elo 1795
ELO gap
6.2Overall Elo 1894
7.2
H2H
2.8
1.7
Surface form
7.5
0.0Lost last 3
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
8.4
Minutes 14d
7.0
3-set count
6.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
89
74

Kasatkina D.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Mertens E.: 3 days rest · 3 matches, 61 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
28°CClear
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 39%

Draw