Elena Rybakina vs Jessica PegulaMiami Semi-final

Miami · WTA · Semi-final
#2WTA
2122ELO
2110Hard ELO
$4.7MYTD
$29MCAREER
27 yrs · 184 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 20 March 2023 ·
hard
#3WTA
2097ELO
2058Hard ELO
$3.5MYTD
$25MCAREER
32 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWLWW
Rybakina E.
7-6 6-4
Pegula J.
Rybakina E.
762
Pegula J.
640

Elena Rybakina defeated Jessica Pegula 7-6 6-4 in the Miami semi-final on hard. The result followed the form book — Elena Rybakina came in ranked #2, leading the head-to-head 6–3, defending last year's round of 32. Elena Rybakina extended the head-to-head to 7–3.

Key context

Head to head

63
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-03-25MiamiQFhardElena Rybakina2-6 6-3 6-4
2026-03-04Indian WellsQFhardElena Rybakina6-1 7-6
2026-01-19Australian OpenSFhardElena Rybakina6-3 7-6
2025-11-07WTA FinalsSFhardElena Rybakina4-6 6-4 6-3
2025-11-01Riyadh FinalsSFhardElena Rybakina4-6 6-4 6-3
2025-09-19BJK Cup FinalsRRhardElena Rybakina6-4 6-1
2023-10-30Cancun FinalsRRhardJessica Pegula7-5 6-2
2022-10-17Guadalajara 2R32hardJessica Pegula2-6 6-3 7-6
2022-03-21MiamiR32hardJessica Pegula6-3 6-4

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
59%
61%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
73%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
50%
Service points won·Even
64%
61%
Return points won·Even
43%
45%
Break points saved·Slight edge
64%
58%
Aces / match·Dominant
6.7
3.1
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.8
2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
98
96
Break points saved·Slight edge
96
86
Break points won·Even
96
99
Deciding sets·Even
98
99
Tiebreaks·Even
92
93

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
92
67

Rybakina E.: 9 days rest · 4 matches (14d) · Pegula J.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 50 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast

Draw