Elena Rybakina vs Jessica Pegula — Riyadh Finals Semi-final
Riyadh Finals · WTA · Semi-final
KAZ6#2WTA
2122ELO
2110Hard ELO
$4.7MYTD
$29MCAREER
27 yrs · 184 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWLWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Saturday, 1 November 2025 ·
hard
USA5#3WTA
2097ELO
2058Hard ELO
$3.5MYTD
$25MCAREER
32 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWWWL
Rybakina E.4-6 6-4 6-3
Pegula J.
Rybakina E.
4662
Pegula J.
6431
Elena Rybakina defeated Jessica Pegula 4-6 6-4 6-3 in the Riyadh Finals semi-final on hard. The result followed the form book — Elena Rybakina came in ranked #2, leading the head-to-head 5–3, defending last year's round-robin. Elena Rybakina extended the head-to-head to 6–3.
Key context
- Match story: Elena Rybakina dropped the opening set before beating Jessica Pegula 4–6 6–4 6–3.
Head to head
5–3| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-17 | Miami | QF | hard | Elena Rybakina | 2-6 6-3 6-4 |
| 2026-03-04 | Indian Wells | QF | hard | Elena Rybakina | 6-1 7-6 |
| 2026-01-19 | Australian Open | SF | hard | Elena Rybakina | 6-3 7-6 |
| 2025-09-19 | BJK Cup Finals | RR | hard | Elena Rybakina | 6-4 6-1 |
| 2023-10-30 | Cancun Finals | RR | hard | Jessica Pegula | 7-5 6-2 |
| 2023-03-20 | Miami | SF | hard | Elena Rybakina | 7-6 6-4 |
| 2022-10-17 | Guadalajara 2 | R32 | hard | Jessica Pegula | 2-6 6-3 7-6 |
| 2022-03-21 | Miami | R32 | hard | Jessica Pegula | 6-3 6-4 |
Statistics
This season1st serve in·Even
58%
62%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
74%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
50%
Service points won·Even
64%
62%
Return points won·Even
43%
45%
Break points saved·Slight edge
65%
60%
Aces / match·Dominant
6.9
3.2
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.9
2.2
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (96 vs 96). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Clutch
Under pressureClutch Rating·Slight edge
96
91
Break points saved·Clear edge
90
76
Break points won·Slight edge
91
97
Deciding sets·Even
94
98
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
86
81
Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadFreshness·Even
100
100
Rybakina E.: 18 days rest · Pegula J.: 15 days rest. Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast