Elena Rybakina vs Jessica Pegula — Riyadh Finals Semi-final

Riyadh Finals · WTA · Semi-final
KAZ
Elena Rybakina
[6]
#2WTA
2175ELO
2136Hard ELO
$4.2MYTD
$29MCAREER
26 yrs · 184 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWLWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Saturday, 1 November 2025
hard
USA
Jessica Pegula
[5]
#5WTA
2103ELO
2061Hard ELO
$2.6MYTD
$24MCAREER
32 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLWWWW

Elena Rybakina defeated Jessica Pegula 4-6 6-4 6-3 in the Riyadh Finals semi-final on hard. The result followed the form book — Elena Rybakina came in ranked #2, leading the head-to-head 5–3, defending last year's round-robin. Elena Rybakina extended the head-to-head to 6–3.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Rybakina E.
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
Pegula J.
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 26 days (−0.3)
Form & Matchup
6.0+75 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.0Hard Elo 2061
6.0Overall Elo 2175
ELO gap
4.0Overall Elo 2103
6.7
H2H
3.3
8.0
Surface form
8.3
Fatigue & Travel
8.2
Minutes 14d
9.0
Prev. match
7.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Rybakina E.
4662
Pegula J.
6431

Head to head

5–3
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-03-17MiamiQFhardElena Rybakina2-6 6-3 6-4
2026-03-04Indian WellsQFhardElena Rybakina6-1 7-6(4)
2026-01-19Australian OpenSFhardElena Rybakina6-3 7-6(7)
2025-09-19BJK Cup FinalsRRhardElena Rybakina6-4 6-1
2023-10-30Cancun FinalsRRhardJessica Pegula7-5 6-2
2023-03-20MiamiSFhardElena Rybakina7-6(3) 6-4
2022-10-17Guadalajara 2R32hardJessica Pegula2-6 6-3 7-6(8)
2022-03-21MiamiR32hardJessica Pegula6-3 6-4
View full head-to-head →

Statistics

Recent form
Rybakina E.Pegula J.
60%1st serve in+4%64%
72%1st serve points won+1%71%
53%2nd serve points won+1%52%
65%Service points won+1%64%
41%Return points won+3%44%
66%Break points saved+2%64%
6.6Aces / match+1.65
2.4Double faults / match+0.61.8

Averages from each player's recent completed matches (20 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Draw

Final
Rybakina E.[6]
Sabalenka A.[1]
6-37-60
Semi-finals
Rybakina E.[6]
Pegula J.[5]
4-66-46-3
Sabalenka A.[1]
Anisimova A.[4]
6-33-66-3
Round Robin
Sabalenka A.[1]
Pegula J.[5]
6-42-66-3
Rybakina E.[6]
Alexandrova E.
6-46-4
Gauff C.[3]
Paolini J.[8]
6-36-2
Rybakina E.[6]
Swiatek I.[2]
3-66-16-0
Swiatek I.[2]
Keys M.[7]
6-16-2
Anisimova A.[4]
Keys M.[7]
4-66-36-2
Sabalenka A.[1]
Gauff C.[3]
7-656-2
Rybakina E.[6]
Anisimova A.[4]
6-36-1
Sabalenka A.[1]
Paolini J.[8]
6-36-1
Pegula J.[5]
Gauff C.[3]
6-36-746-2
Pegula J.[5]
Paolini J.[8]
6-26-3
Anisimova A.[4]
Swiatek I.[2]
6-736-46-2