Elena Rybakina vs Jessica Pegula — Indian Wells Quarter-final

Indian Wells · WTA · Quarter-final
Elena Rybakina
KAZ3
Elena Rybakina
#2WTA
2122ELO
2110Hard ELO
$4.7MYTD
$29MCAREER
27 yrs · 184 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 4 March 2026 ·
hard
Jessica Pegula
USA5
Jessica Pegula
#3WTA
2097ELO
2058Hard ELO
$3.5MYTD
$25MCAREER
32 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWLWW
Rybakina E.
6-1 7-6
Pegula J.
Rybakina E.
672
Pegula J.
160

Elena Rybakina defeated Jessica Pegula 6-1 7-6 in the Indian Wells quarter-final on hard. The result followed the form book — Elena Rybakina came in ranked #2, leading the head-to-head 6–3, defending last year's round of 16. Elena Rybakina extended the head-to-head to 7–3.

Key context

  • Match story: Elena Rybakina came through a tight passage before pulling clear — 6–1 7–6.

Head to head

6–3
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-03-25MiamiQFhardElena Rybakina2-6 6-3 6-4
2026-01-19Australian OpenSFhardElena Rybakina6-3 7-6
2025-11-07WTA FinalsSFhardElena Rybakina4-6 6-4 6-3
2025-11-01Riyadh FinalsSFhardElena Rybakina4-6 6-4 6-3
2025-09-19BJK Cup FinalsRRhardElena Rybakina6-4 6-1
2023-10-30Cancun FinalsRRhardJessica Pegula7-5 6-2
2023-03-20MiamiSFhardElena Rybakina7-6 6-4
2022-10-17Guadalajara 2R32hardJessica Pegula2-6 6-3 7-6
2022-03-21MiamiR32hardJessica Pegula6-3 6-4
View full head-to-head →

Statistics

This season
Rybakina E.Pegula J.
1st serve in·Slight edge
58%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
73%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
50%
Service points won·Even
64%
62%
Return points won·Even
42%
46%
Break points saved·Slight edge
66%
58%
Aces / match·Clear edge
6.4
4.3
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.5
1.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (42 vs 37). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Rybakina E.Pegula J.
Clutch Rating·Even
98
96
Break points saved·Slight edge
96
86
Break points won·Even
96
99
Deciding sets·Even
98
99
Tiebreaks·Even
92
93

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Rybakina E.Pegula J.
Freshness·Dominant
92
67

Rybakina E.: 9 days rest · 4 matches (14d) · Pegula J.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 50 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast

Draw