Jessica Pegula vs Elena Rybakina — Cancun Finals Round Robin
Cancun Finals · WTA · Round Robin
USA5#3WTA
2097ELO
2058Hard ELO
$3.5MYTD
$25MCAREER
32 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 30 October 2023 ·
hard
KAZ4#2WTA
2122ELO
2110Hard ELO
$4.7MYTD
$29MCAREER
27 yrs · 184 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWLWLW
Pegula J.7-5 6-2
Rybakina E.
Pegula J.
762
Rybakina E.
520
Jessica Pegula defeated Elena Rybakina 7-5 6-2 in the Cancun Finals round robin on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Elena Rybakina came in ranked #2, leading the head-to-head 6–2. Jessica Pegula narrowed the head-to-head to 6–3.
Key context
- Match story: Jessica Pegula closed it out in two sets, 7–5 6–2.
Head to head
2–6| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-17 | Miami | QF | hard | Elena Rybakina | 2-6 6-3 6-4 |
| 2026-03-04 | Indian Wells | QF | hard | Elena Rybakina | 6-1 7-6 |
| 2026-01-19 | Australian Open | SF | hard | Elena Rybakina | 6-3 7-6 |
| 2025-11-01 | Riyadh Finals | SF | hard | Elena Rybakina | 4-6 6-4 6-3 |
| 2025-09-19 | BJK Cup Finals | RR | hard | Elena Rybakina | 6-4 6-1 |
| 2023-03-20 | Miami | SF | hard | Elena Rybakina | 7-6 6-4 |
| 2022-10-17 | Guadalajara 2 | R32 | hard | Jessica Pegula | 2-6 6-3 7-6 |
| 2022-03-21 | Miami | R32 | hard | Jessica Pegula | 6-3 6-4 |
Statistics
This season1st serve in·Even
61%
59%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
68%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
49%
Service points won·Even
61%
64%
Return points won·Even
45%
43%
Break points saved·Slight edge
58%
64%
Aces / match·Dominant
3.0
7.0
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.3
2.8
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Clutch
Under pressureClutch Rating·Slight edge
91
96
Break points saved·Clear edge
76
90
Break points won·Slight edge
97
91
Deciding sets·Even
98
94
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
81
86
Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadFreshness·Even
100
100
Pegula J.: 15 days rest · Rybakina E.: 18 days rest. Higher means fresher. About