Jessica Pegula vs Elena Rybakina — Cancun Finals Round Robin

Cancun Finals · WTA · Round Robin

USA

Jessica Pegula

[5]

#5WTA

2103ELO

2061Hard ELO

$2.6MYTD

$24MCAREER

32 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed

Last 10 · pre-match

LLWWWLWWWW

2 — 0

Sets

Monday, 30 October 2023

hard

KAZ

Elena Rybakina

[4]

#2WTA

2175ELO

2136Hard ELO

$4.2MYTD

$29MCAREER

26 yrs · 184 cm · Right-handed

Last 10 · pre-match

LWLWWWLWWW

Jessica Pegula defeated Elena Rybakina 7-5 6-2 in the Cancun Finals round robin on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Elena Rybakina came in ranked #2, leading the head-to-head 6–2, but Jessica Pegula had arrived on a 5-match winning run. Jessica Pegula narrowed the head-to-head to 6–3.

Key context

Match story: Jessica Pegula closed it out in two sets, 7–5 6–2.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match

Pegula J.

6.9

Slight advantageUmpiry Score

Rybakina E.

6.2

Even matchUmpiry Score

Extended break: 28 days (−0.3)

Form & Matchup

4.0Hard Elo 2061

Surface ELO

6.0+75 Hard Elo edge

4.0Overall Elo 2103

ELO gap

6.0Overall Elo 2175

6.1

H2H

3.9

8.5

Surface form

6.8

9.05-match win streak

Win streak

7.04-match win streak

Fatigue & Travel

9.0

Prev. match

8.0

Context

5.0

Defending pts

5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Pegula J.

762

Rybakina E.

520

Head to head

2–6

Date	Tournament	Round	Surface	Winner	Score
2026-03-17	Miami	QF	hard	Elena Rybakina	2-6 6-3 6-4
2026-03-04	Indian Wells	QF	hard	Elena Rybakina	6-1 7-6(4)
2026-01-19	Australian Open	SF	hard	Elena Rybakina	6-3 7-6(7)
2025-11-01	Riyadh Finals	SF	hard	Elena Rybakina	4-6 6-4 6-3
2025-09-19	BJK Cup Finals	RR	hard	Elena Rybakina	6-4 6-1
2023-03-20	Miami	SF	hard	Elena Rybakina	7-6(3) 6-4
2022-10-17	Guadalajara 2	R32	hard	Jessica Pegula	2-6 6-3 7-6(8)
2022-03-21	Miami	R32	hard	Jessica Pegula	6-3 6-4