Sorana Cirstea vs Karolina Muchova — Miami Round of 32

Miami · WTA · Round of 32
Sorana Cirstea
ROU
Sorana Cirstea
#17WTA
1957ELO
1914Hard ELO
$1.5MYTD
$12MCAREER
36 yrs · 176 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWLWWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 20 March 2023
hard
Karolina Muchova
CZE
Karolina Muchova
#6WTA
2066ELO
2034Hard ELO
$2.0MYTD
$12MCAREER
29 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWWW
Cirstea S.
7-5 6-1
Muchova K.
Cirstea S.
762
Muchova K.
510

Sorana Cirstea defeated Karolina Muchova 7-5 6-1 in the Miami round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Karolina Muchova came in ranked #6, leading the head-to-head 7–0, defending last year's round of 32, but Sorana Cirstea had arrived on a 4-match winning run. Sorana Cirstea claimed a first win over Karolina Muchova in eight meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 7–1.

Key context

  • Match story: Sorana Cirstea came through a tight passage before pulling clear — 7–5 6–1.

Head to head

0–7
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-09-24BeijingR64hardKarolina Muchova6-2 6-3
2025-08-25US OpenR64hardKarolina Muchova7-6(0) 6-7(3) 6-4
2025-02-17DubaiQFhardKarolina Muchova6-2 7-5
2023-08-28US OpenQFhardKarolina Muchova6-0 6-3
2023-08-07MontrealR32hardKarolina Muchova7-5 6-4
2023-02-20DubaiR32hardKarolina Muchova6-4 7-6(4)
2020-08-31US OpenR32hardKarolina Muchova6-3 2-6 7-6(7)
View full head-to-head →

Serve vs return

This season
Cirstea S.serving75% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Muchova K.

Muchova K.serving81% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Cirstea S.

Serve advantage — Muchova K.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Cirstea S.Muchova K.
67
Serve
70
70
Return
44

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Cirstea S.Muchova K.
1st serve in·Even
60%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
66%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
50%
Service points won·Even
59%
61%
Return points won·Even
43%
44%
Break points saved·Even
57%
61%
Aces / match·Even
3.5
3.7
Double faults / match·Even
2.2
2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (158 vs 143). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Cirstea S.Muchova K.
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
85
95
Break points saved·Clear edge
86
98
Break points won·Even
92
94
Deciding sets·Clear edge
85
98
Tiebreaks·Even
96
99

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Cirstea S.
4.4
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
Muchova K.
7.9
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.2Hard Elo 1914
Surface ELO
6.8+120 Hard Elo edge
3.1Overall Elo 1957
ELO gap
6.9Overall Elo 2066
0.0
H2H
10.0
5.7
Surface form
7.4
7.04-match win streak
Win streak
7.04-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
5.9
Minutes 14d
2.0
7.0
3-set count
0.0
9.0
Prev. match
7.0
4.6
Country comfort
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Cirstea S.Muchova K.
Freshness·Dominant
91
62

Cirstea S.: 10 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Muchova K.: 3 days rest · 3 matches, 80 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
19°COvercast
Wind 18 km/hHumidity 73%

Draw

Final
Kvitova P.[15]
Rybakina E.[10]
7-6146-2
Semi-finals
Kvitova P.[15]
Cirstea S.
7-56-4
Rybakina E.[10]
Pegula J.[3]
7-636-4
Quarter-finals
Kvitova P.[15]
Alexandrova E.[18]
6-43-66-3
Cirstea S.
Sabalenka A.[2]
6-46-4
Rybakina E.[10]
Trevisan M.[25]
6-36-0
Pegula J.[3]
Potapova A.[27]
4-66-37-62
R16
Sabalenka A.[2]
Krejcikova B.[16]
6-36-2
Alexandrova E.[18]
Andreescu B.
7-600-2
Trevisan M.[25]
Ostapenko J.[24]
6-36-3
Rybakina E.[10]
Mertens E.
6-46-3
Pegula J.[3]
Linette M.[20]
6-17-5
Kvitova P.[15]
Gracheva V.
7-57-65
Cirstea S.
Vondrousova M.
7-636-4
Potapova A.[27]
Zheng Q.[23]
6-47-64
R32
Trevisan M.[25]
Liu C.
4-67-56-4
Ostapenko J.[24]
Haddad Maia B.[13]
6-24-66-3
Rybakina E.[10]
Badosa P.[21]
3-67-56-3
Mertens E.
Martic P.[29]
6-46-3
Pegula J.[3]
Collins D.[30]
6-17-60
Sabalenka A.[2]
Bouzkova M.[31]
6-16-2
Andreescu B.
Kenin S.
6-46-4
Linette M.[20]
Azarenka V.[14]
7-632-66-4
Cirstea S.
Muchova K.
7-56-1
Zheng Q.[23]
Samsonova L.[12]
5-77-656-3
Potapova A.[27]
Gauff C.[6]
6-787-56-2
Alexandrova E.[18]
Bencic B.[9]
7-686-3
Kvitova P.[15]
Vekic D.[22]
6-47-63
Krejcikova B.[16]
Keys M.[19]
7-646-3
Gracheva V.
Frech M.
6-16-2
Vondrousova M.
Pliskova K.[17]
6-16-2
R64
Mertens E.
Kasatkina D.[8]
4-66-26-2
Azarenka V.[14]
Giorgi C.
6-36-1
Kenin S.
Kalinina A.[28]
6-36-4
Bencic B.[9]
Fernandez L.
6-16-1
Kvitova P.[15]
Noskova L.
6-36-0
Vekic D.[22]
Brengle M.
4-66-46-3
Krejcikova B.[16]
Sasnovich A.
6-36-2
Frech M.
Andreeva E.
4-66-16-1
Liu C.
Grabher J.
6-46-3
Linette M.[20]
Rodina E.
6-36-4
Collins D.[30]
Tomova V.
7-636-2
Sabalenka A.[2]
Rogers S.
6-46-3
Muchova K.
Zhu L.[32]
6-46-2
Trevisan M.[25]
Hibino N.
6-46-3
Ostapenko J.[24]
Bjorklund M.
6-36-4
Haddad Maia B.[13]
Martincova T.
7-640-66-0
Badosa P.[21]
Siegemund L.
7-624-66-2
Martic P.[29]
Wang X.
6-36-3
Samsonova L.[12]
Golubic V.
6-16-1
Zheng Q.[23]
Begu I.
2-66-16-1
Andreescu B.
Sakkari M.[7]
5-76-36-4
Gracheva V.
Jabeur O.[4]
6-26-2
Pliskova K.[17]
Wang X.
6-26-4
Vondrousova M.
Kudermetova V.[11]
6-46-2
Keys M.[19]
Montgomery R.
6-46-4
Pegula J.[3]
Sebov K.
6-36-1
Rybakina E.[10]
Kalinskaya A.
7-54-66-3
Cirstea S.
Garcia C.[5]
6-26-3
Potapova A.[27]
Kostyuk M.
6-16-3
Gauff C.[6]
Marino R.
6-46-3
Alexandrova E.[18]
Townsend T.
6-35-76-4
Bouzkova M.[31]
Blinkova A.
3-66-46-3
R128
Liu C.
Siniakova K.
3-63-3
Giorgi C.
Kanepi K.
7-646-747-64
Brengle M.
Anisimova A.
7-655-2
Kenin S.
Hunter S.
6-07-65
Gracheva V.
Zanevska M.
6-17-5
Wang X.
Fruhvirtova B.
6-07-5
Siegemund L.
Sherif M.
6-36-4
Blinkova A.
Niemeier J.
6-46-1
Andreeva E.
Krueger A.
7-56-2
Kalinskaya A.
Jimenez Kasintseva V.
6-46-2
Martincova T.
Korpatsch T.
4-66-46-3
Hibino N.
Kovinic D.
6-36-3
Sebov K.
Fruhvirtova L.
6-24-66-4
Tomova V.
Schmiedlova A.
7-56-2
Rodina E.
Pera B.
6-36-4
Golubic V.
Baptiste H.
7-636-1
Kostyuk M.
Cocciaretto E.
6-36-2
Andreescu B.
Raducanu E.
6-33-66-2
Townsend T.
Bondar A.
6-46-0
Fernandez L.
Tsurenko L.
6-46-3
Muchova K.
Teichmann J.
6-06-2
Vondrousova M.
Maria T.
6-46-1
Sasnovich A.
Galfi D.
6-37-65
Montgomery R.
Bogdan A.
3-66-36-3
Marino R.
Putintseva Y.
7-646-2
Begu I.
Eala A.
6-27-5
Cirstea S.
Contreras Gomez F.
7-666-2
Bjorklund M.
Paolini J.
4-66-46-4
Mertens E.
Parks A.
6-16-4
Noskova L.
Bronzetti L.
6-36-4
Wang X.
Friedsam A.
3-66-46-2
Rogers S.
Stephens S.
6-43-66-2