Karolina Muchova vs Sorana CirsteaDubai Quarter-final

Dubai · WTA · Quarter-final
#9WTA
2066ELO
2034Hard ELO
$2.0MYTD
$12MCAREER
29 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 17 February 2025
hard
#18WTA
1957ELO
1914Hard ELO
$1.5MYTD
$12MCAREER
36 yrs · 176 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWLWWWW
Muchova K.
6-2 7-5
Cirstea S.
Muchova K.
672
Cirstea S.
250

Karolina Muchova defeated Sorana Cirstea 6-2 7-5 in the Dubai quarter-final on hard. The result followed the form book — Karolina Muchova came in ranked #9, leading the head-to-head 6–1. Karolina Muchova extended the head-to-head to 7–1.

Key context

Head to head

61
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-09-24BeijingR64hardKarolina Muchova6-2 6-3
2025-08-25US OpenR64hardKarolina Muchova7-6(0) 6-7(3) 6-4
2023-08-28US OpenQFhardKarolina Muchova6-0 6-3
2023-08-07MontrealR32hardKarolina Muchova7-5 6-4
2023-03-20MiamiR32hardSorana Cirstea7-5 6-1
2023-02-20DubaiR32hardKarolina Muchova6-4 7-6(4)
2020-08-31US OpenR32hardKarolina Muchova6-3 2-6 7-6(7)

Serve vs return

This season
Muchova K.serving79% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Cirstea S.

Cirstea S.serving82% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Muchova K.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Muchova K.Cirstea S.
70
Serve
67
44
Return
70

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
59%
1st serve points won·Even
68%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
50%
Service points won·Even
61%
61%
Return points won·Even
42%
44%
Break points saved·Even
61%
57%
Aces / match·Even
4.0
4.1
Double faults / match·Slight edge
1.8
2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (61 vs 77). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
95
85
Break points saved·Clear edge
98
86
Break points won·Even
94
92
Deciding sets·Clear edge
98
85
Tiebreaks·Even
99
96

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.2
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.8+120 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.2Hard Elo 1914
6.9Overall Elo 2066
ELO gap
3.1Overall Elo 1957
6.7
H2H
3.3
5.0
Surface form
3.9
Fatigue & Travel
7.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
8.5

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
60
86

Muchova K.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 84 games (7d) · Cirstea S.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 30 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
27°CClear
Wind 13 km/hHumidity 45%

Draw