Aryna Sabalenka vs Marie Bouzkova — Miami Round of 32

Miami · WTA · Round of 32
Aryna Sabalenka
BLR2
Aryna Sabalenka
#1WTA
2220ELO
2201Hard ELO
$4.7MYTD
$50MCAREER
28 yrs · 182 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 20 March 2023
hard
Marie Bouzkova
CZE31
Marie Bouzkova
#23WTA
1871ELO
1798Hard ELO
$844kYTD
$7.2MCAREER
27 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWWL
Sabalenka A.
6-1 6-2
Bouzkova M.
Sabalenka A.
662
Bouzkova M.
120

Aryna Sabalenka defeated Marie Bouzkova 6-1 6-2 in the Miami round of 32 on hard. The result followed the form book — Aryna Sabalenka came in ranked #1, leading the head-to-head 2–1, defending last year's round of 64. Aryna Sabalenka extended the head-to-head to 3–1.

Key context

Head to head

2–1
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-06-30WimbledonR64grassAryna Sabalenka7-6(4) 6-4
2024-12-30BrisbaneQFhardAryna Sabalenka6-3 6-4
2024-07-29WashingtonSFhardMarie Bouzkova6-4 3-6 6-3
View full head-to-head →

Serve vs return

This season
Sabalenka A.serving81% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Bouzkova M.

Bouzkova M.serving71% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Sabalenka A.

Serve advantage — Sabalenka A.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Sabalenka A.Bouzkova M.
96
Serve
10
39
Return
81

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Sabalenka A.Bouzkova M.
1st serve in·Even
63%
65%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
70%
64%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
51%
46%
Service points won·Slight edge
63%
58%
Return points won·Even
45%
45%
Break points saved·Slight edge
63%
56%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.6
2.2
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.8
3.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 165). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Sabalenka A.Bouzkova M.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
98
79
Break points saved·Slight edge
98
90
Break points won·Even
100
98
Deciding sets·Clear edge
97
75
Tiebreaks·Dominant
100
71

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Sabalenka A.
7.1
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
Bouzkova M.
4.7
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
10.0+403 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
0.0Hard Elo 1798
10.0Overall Elo 2220
ELO gap
0.0Overall Elo 1871
5.0
H2H
5.0
8.4
Surface form
2.5
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
5.4
Minutes 14d
9.3
7.0
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
9.0
5.8
Country comfort
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Sabalenka A.Bouzkova M.
Freshness·Slight edge
84
75

Sabalenka A.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 41 games (7d) · Bouzkova M.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 53 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
19°COvercast
Wind 18 km/hHumidity 73%

Draw

Final
Kvitova P.[15]
Rybakina E.[10]
7-6146-2
Semi-finals
Kvitova P.[15]
Cirstea S.
7-56-4
Rybakina E.[10]
Pegula J.[3]
7-636-4
Quarter-finals
Kvitova P.[15]
Alexandrova E.[18]
6-43-66-3
Cirstea S.
Sabalenka A.[2]
6-46-4
Rybakina E.[10]
Trevisan M.[25]
6-36-0
Pegula J.[3]
Potapova A.[27]
4-66-37-62
R16
Sabalenka A.[2]
Krejcikova B.[16]
6-36-2
Alexandrova E.[18]
Andreescu B.
7-600-2
Trevisan M.[25]
Ostapenko J.[24]
6-36-3
Rybakina E.[10]
Mertens E.
6-46-3
Pegula J.[3]
Linette M.[20]
6-17-5
Kvitova P.[15]
Gracheva V.
7-57-65
Cirstea S.
Vondrousova M.
7-636-4
Potapova A.[27]
Zheng Q.[23]
6-47-64
R32
Trevisan M.[25]
Liu C.
4-67-56-4
Ostapenko J.[24]
Haddad Maia B.[13]
6-24-66-3
Rybakina E.[10]
Badosa P.[21]
3-67-56-3
Mertens E.
Martic P.[29]
6-46-3
Pegula J.[3]
Collins D.[30]
6-17-60
Sabalenka A.[2]
Bouzkova M.[31]
6-16-2
Andreescu B.
Kenin S.
6-46-4
Linette M.[20]
Azarenka V.[14]
7-632-66-4
Cirstea S.
Muchova K.
7-56-1
Zheng Q.[23]
Samsonova L.[12]
5-77-656-3
Potapova A.[27]
Gauff C.[6]
6-787-56-2
Alexandrova E.[18]
Bencic B.[9]
7-686-3
Kvitova P.[15]
Vekic D.[22]
6-47-63
Krejcikova B.[16]
Keys M.[19]
7-646-3
Gracheva V.
Frech M.
6-16-2
Vondrousova M.
Pliskova K.[17]
6-16-2
R64
Mertens E.
Kasatkina D.[8]
4-66-26-2
Azarenka V.[14]
Giorgi C.
6-36-1
Kenin S.
Kalinina A.[28]
6-36-4
Bencic B.[9]
Fernandez L.
6-16-1
Kvitova P.[15]
Noskova L.
6-36-0
Vekic D.[22]
Brengle M.
4-66-46-3
Krejcikova B.[16]
Sasnovich A.
6-36-2
Frech M.
Andreeva E.
4-66-16-1
Liu C.
Grabher J.
6-46-3
Linette M.[20]
Rodina E.
6-36-4
Collins D.[30]
Tomova V.
7-636-2
Sabalenka A.[2]
Rogers S.
6-46-3
Muchova K.
Zhu L.[32]
6-46-2
Trevisan M.[25]
Hibino N.
6-46-3
Ostapenko J.[24]
Bjorklund M.
6-36-4
Haddad Maia B.[13]
Martincova T.
7-640-66-0
Badosa P.[21]
Siegemund L.
7-624-66-2
Martic P.[29]
Wang X.
6-36-3
Samsonova L.[12]
Golubic V.
6-16-1
Zheng Q.[23]
Begu I.
2-66-16-1
Andreescu B.
Sakkari M.[7]
5-76-36-4
Gracheva V.
Jabeur O.[4]
6-26-2
Pliskova K.[17]
Wang X.
6-26-4
Vondrousova M.
Kudermetova V.[11]
6-46-2
Keys M.[19]
Montgomery R.
6-46-4
Pegula J.[3]
Sebov K.
6-36-1
Rybakina E.[10]
Kalinskaya A.
7-54-66-3
Cirstea S.
Garcia C.[5]
6-26-3
Potapova A.[27]
Kostyuk M.
6-16-3
Gauff C.[6]
Marino R.
6-46-3
Alexandrova E.[18]
Townsend T.
6-35-76-4
Bouzkova M.[31]
Blinkova A.
3-66-46-3
R128
Liu C.
Siniakova K.
3-63-3
Giorgi C.
Kanepi K.
7-646-747-64
Brengle M.
Anisimova A.
7-655-2
Kenin S.
Hunter S.
6-07-65
Gracheva V.
Zanevska M.
6-17-5
Wang X.
Fruhvirtova B.
6-07-5
Siegemund L.
Sherif M.
6-36-4
Blinkova A.
Niemeier J.
6-46-1
Andreeva E.
Krueger A.
7-56-2
Kalinskaya A.
Jimenez Kasintseva V.
6-46-2
Martincova T.
Korpatsch T.
4-66-46-3
Hibino N.
Kovinic D.
6-36-3
Sebov K.
Fruhvirtova L.
6-24-66-4
Tomova V.
Schmiedlova A.
7-56-2
Rodina E.
Pera B.
6-36-4
Golubic V.
Baptiste H.
7-636-1
Kostyuk M.
Cocciaretto E.
6-36-2
Andreescu B.
Raducanu E.
6-33-66-2
Townsend T.
Bondar A.
6-46-0
Fernandez L.
Tsurenko L.
6-46-3
Muchova K.
Teichmann J.
6-06-2
Vondrousova M.
Maria T.
6-46-1
Sasnovich A.
Galfi D.
6-37-65
Montgomery R.
Bogdan A.
3-66-36-3
Marino R.
Putintseva Y.
7-646-2
Begu I.
Eala A.
6-27-5
Cirstea S.
Contreras Gomez F.
7-666-2
Bjorklund M.
Paolini J.
4-66-46-4
Mertens E.
Parks A.
6-16-4
Noskova L.
Bronzetti L.
6-36-4
Wang X.
Friedsam A.
3-66-46-2
Rogers S.
Stephens S.
6-43-66-2