Marie Bouzkova vs Aryna SabalenkaWashington Semi-final

Washington · WTA · Semi-final
#28WTA
1831ELO
1778Hard ELO
$553kYTD
$6.9MCAREER
27 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWLLWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 29 July 2024
hard
#1WTA
2240ELO
2211Hard ELO
$4.1MYTD
$49MCAREER
28 yrs · 182 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLLWWW

Marie Bouzkova defeated Aryna Sabalenka 6-4 3-6 6-3 in the Washington semi-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Aryna Sabalenka came in ranked #1, leading the head-to-head 3–0. Marie Bouzkova claimed a first win over Aryna Sabalenka in four meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 3–1.

Key context

  • Match story: Marie Bouzkova closed it out in three sets, 6–4 3–6 6–3.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
3.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 28 days (−0.3)
7.0
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
  • Injury return: 42 days (−1.0)
Form & Matchup
0.0Hard Elo 1778
Surface ELO
10.0+433 Hard Elo edge
0.0Overall Elo 1831
ELO gap
10.0Overall Elo 2240
0.0
H2H
10.0
3.1
Surface form
6.4
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
9.0
Prev. match
4.8
Country comfort
5.9
7.0
Surface transition
7.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Bouzkova M.
6362
Sabalenka A.
4631

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
1.09
SlowFast
Weather
29°CClear
Wind 5 km/hHumidity 63%

Head to head

03
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-06-30WimbledonR64grassAryna Sabalenka7-6(4) 6-4
2024-12-30BrisbaneQFhardAryna Sabalenka6-3 6-4
2023-03-20MiamiR32hardAryna Sabalenka6-1 6-2

Statistics

Recent form
66%1st serve in+1%65%
63%1st serve points won+11%74%
43%2nd serve points won+13%56%
56%Service points won+12%68%
44%Return points won+1%43%
56%Break points saved+14%70%
1.9Aces / match+3.55.4
3.9Double faults / match+1.92

Averages from each player's recent completed matches (20 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.