
Marie Bouzkova defeated Aryna Sabalenka 6-4 3-6 6-3 in the Washington semi-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Aryna Sabalenka came in ranked #1, leading the head-to-head 5–0. Marie Bouzkova claimed a first win over Aryna Sabalenka in six meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 5–1.
| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-07-02 | Wimbledon | R64 | grass | Aryna Sabalenka | 7-6(4) 6-4 |
| 2025-06-30 | Wimbledon | R64 | grass | Aryna Sabalenka | 7-6 6-4 |
| 2024-12-30 | Brisbane | QF | hard | Aryna Sabalenka | 6-3 6-4 |
| 2023-03-26 | Miami | R32 | hard | Aryna Sabalenka | 6-1 6-2 |
| 2023-03-20 | Miami | R32 | hard | Aryna Sabalenka | 6-1 6-2 |
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (115 vs 163). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Bouzkova M.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 77 games (7d) · Sabalenka A.: 21 days rest. Higher means fresher. About
Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About