Aryna Sabalenka vs Sofia KeninBeijing Round of 64

Beijing · WTA · Round of 64
#1WTA
2220ELO
2201Hard ELO
$4.7MYTD
$50MCAREER
28 yrs · 182 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 2 October 2023
hard
#105WTA
1694ELO
1659Hard ELO
27 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLLWLLLL
Sabalenka A.
6-1 6-2
Kenin S.
Sabalenka A.
662
Kenin S.
120

Aryna Sabalenka defeated Sofia Kenin 6-1 6-2 in the Beijing round of 64 on hard. The result followed the form book — Aryna Sabalenka came in ranked #1, leading the head-to-head 3–1. Aryna Sabalenka extended the head-to-head to 4–1.

Key context

Head to head

31
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-05-06RomeR32clayAryna Sabalenka3-6 6-3 6-3
2023-05-08RomeR64claySofia Kenin7-6(4) 6-2
2018-10-08TianjinR32hardAryna Sabalenka7-6(4) 4-6 6-0
2018-09-24WuhanR16hardAryna Sabalenka6-3 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Sabalenka A.serving87% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Kenin S.

Kenin S.serving71% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Sabalenka A.

Serve advantage — Sabalenka A.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Sabalenka A.Kenin S.
96
Serve
13
39
Return
0

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
63%
68%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
70%
63%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
47%
Service points won·Slight edge
63%
58%
Return points won·Even
45%
41%
Break points saved·Slight edge
63%
56%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.6
1.7
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.9
3.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 159). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
98
66
Break points saved·Slight edge
98
92
Break points won·Clear edge
100
85
Deciding sets·Dominant
97
54
Tiebreaks·Dominant
100
73

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.3
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 49 days (−0.7)
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
10.0+543 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
0.0Hard Elo 1659
10.0Overall Elo 2220
ELO gap
0.0Overall Elo 1694
5.0
H2H
5.0
7.2
Surface form
8.1
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
4.7
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
6.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0
5.0
Opponent rise

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
86
91

Sabalenka A.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 21 games (7d) · Kenin S.: 9 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
21°COvercast
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 53%

Draw