Sofia Kenin vs Aryna Sabalenka — Rome Round of 64

Rome · WTA · Round of 64
Sofia Kenin
USA
Sofia Kenin
#105WTA
1694ELO
1655Clay ELO
27 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLLWLLLL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 8 May 2023
clay
Aryna Sabalenka
BLR2
Aryna Sabalenka
#1WTA
2220ELO
2103Clay ELO
$4.7MYTD
$50MCAREER
28 yrs · 182 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWLWW
Kenin S.
7-6 6-2
Sabalenka A.
Kenin S.
7762
Sabalenka A.
6420

Sofia Kenin defeated Aryna Sabalenka 7-6 6-2 in the Rome round of 64 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Aryna Sabalenka came in ranked #1, leading the head-to-head 4–0, defending last year's semi-final. Sofia Kenin claimed a first win over Aryna Sabalenka in five meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 4–1.

Key context

  • Match story: Sofia Kenin closed it out in two sets, 7–6 6–2.

Head to head

0–4
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-05-06RomeR32clayAryna Sabalenka3-6 6-3 6-3
2023-10-02BeijingR64hardAryna Sabalenka6-1 6-2
2018-10-08TianjinR32hardAryna Sabalenka7-6(4) 4-6 6-0
2018-09-24WuhanR16hardAryna Sabalenka6-3 6-3
View full head-to-head →

Serve vs return

This season
Kenin S.serving67% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Sabalenka A.

Sabalenka A.serving84% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Kenin S.

Serve advantage — Sabalenka A.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Kenin S.Sabalenka A.
1st serve in·Slight edge
68%
63%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
63%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
51%
Service points won·Slight edge
58%
63%
Return points won·Even
41%
45%
Break points saved·Slight edge
56%
63%
Aces / match·Clear edge
1.7
4.6
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.6
2.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (159 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Kenin S.Sabalenka A.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
66
98
Break points saved·Slight edge
92
98
Break points won·Clear edge
85
100
Deciding sets·Dominant
54
97
Tiebreaks·Dominant
73
100

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Kenin S.
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Sabalenka A.
9.0
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
0.0Clay Elo 1655
Surface ELO
10.0+448 Clay Elo edge
0.0Overall Elo 1694
ELO gap
10.0Overall Elo 2220
5.0
H2H
5.0
4.4
Surface form
9.2
0.0
Win streak
10.08-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
9.4
Minutes 14d
3.7
3-set count
4.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
8.5

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Kenin S.Sabalenka A.
Freshness·Even
92
88

Kenin S.: 10 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Sabalenka A.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 21 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
19°COvercast
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 72%

Draw

Final
Rybakina E.[7]
Kalinina A.[30]
6-41-0
Semi-finals
Rybakina E.[7]
Ostapenko J.[20]
6-26-4
Kalinina A.[30]
Kudermetova V.[11]
7-55-76-2
Quarter-finals
Rybakina E.[7]
Swiatek I.[1]
2-67-632-2
Kudermetova V.[11]
Zheng Q.[22]
3-66-36-4
Kalinina A.[30]
Haddad Maia B.[12]
6-727-666-3
Ostapenko J.[20]
Badosa P.
6-24-66-3
R16
Kalinina A.[30]
Keys M.[19]
2-66-26-4
Swiatek I.[1]
Vekic D.[21]
6-36-4
Zheng Q.[22]
Wang X.
6-43-66-1
Badosa P.
Muchova K.
6-46-746-2
Kudermetova V.[11]
Bouzkova M.[27]
6-26-2
Haddad Maia B.[12]
Osorio C.
6-36-3
Ostapenko J.[20]
Kasatkina D.[8]
6-44-66-0
Rybakina E.[7]
Vondrousova M.
6-36-3
R32
Vondrousova M.
Sakkari M.[9]
7-56-3
Zheng Q.[22]
Bondar A.
7-626-4
Wang X.
Townsend T.
6-20-67-5
Osorio C.
Garcia C.[5]
6-46-4
Keys M.[19]
Azarenka V.[14]
W/O
Kalinina A.[30]
Kenin S.
6-46-2
Kasatkina D.[8]
Grabher J.
7-54-67-62
Rybakina E.[7]
Kalinskaya A.
4-3
Bouzkova M.[27]
Gauff C.[6]
4-66-26-2
Muchova K.
Giorgi C.
7-646-2
Haddad Maia B.[12]
Linette M.[17]
7-56-4
Swiatek I.[1]
Tsurenko L.
6-26-0
Vekic D.[21]
Samsonova L.[16]
2-67-656-2
Badosa P.
Kostyuk M.[32]
6-46-2
Ostapenko J.[20]
Krejcikova B.[10]
7-626-0
Kudermetova V.[11]
Potapova A.[23]
7-53-66-1
R64
Vondrousova M.
Andreescu B.[24]
6-06-1
Kalinskaya A.
Mertens E.[25]
6-44-66-3
Rybakina E.[7]
Paolini J.
7-646-1
Badosa P.
Jabeur O.[4]
6-16-4
Krejcikova B.[10]
Kovinic D.
6-24-1
Kasatkina D.[8]
Pigato L.
6-16-2
Gauff C.[6]
Putintseva Y.
6-06-1
Potapova A.[23]
Cocciaretto E.
6-46-4
Azarenka V.[14]
Stephens S.
6-46-3
Ostapenko J.[20]
Cirstea S.
6-33-66-2
Tsurenko L.
Pera B.[28]
6-46-4
Townsend T.
Pegula J.[3]
6-23-66-3
Swiatek I.[1]
Pavlyuchenkova A.
6-06-0
Vekic D.[21]
Sasnovich A.
3-66-36-3
Samsonova L.[16]
Kontaveit A.
6-36-3
Sakkari M.[9]
Strycova B.
6-16-3
Kostyuk M.[32]
Liu C.
6-06-4
Muchova K.
Trevisan M.[18]
3-66-37-5
Giorgi C.
Alexandrova E.[15]
6-46-2
Grabher J.
Teichmann J.[26]
7-645-76-3
Zheng Q.[22]
Cornet A.
6-37-62
Garcia C.[5]
Bogdan A.
6-43-67-5
Osorio C.
Martic P.[29]
6-46-2
Linette M.[17]
Noskova L.
7-646-1
Haddad Maia B.[12]
Ruse E.
6-26-3
Keys M.[19]
Frech M.
6-36-2
Kalinina A.[30]
Blinkova A.
6-26-2
Kenin S.
Sabalenka A.[2]
7-646-2
Wang X.
Begu I.[31]
6-47-5
Kudermetova V.[11]
Parrizas Diaz N.
7-56-2
Bondar A.
Pliskova K.[13]
7-656-2
Bouzkova M.[27]
Mcnally C.
6-46-3
R128
Vondrousova M.
Kanepi K.
6-04-66-2
Paolini J.
Wang X.
6-46-736-2
Strycova B.
Zanevska M.
6-13-66-3
Wang X.
Stefanini L.
7-627-62
Kovinic D.
Bronzetti L.
6-33-66-3
Sasnovich A.
Fernandez L.
7-644-66-3
Kontaveit A.
Parks A.
6-16-1
Badosa P.
Friedsam A.
4-66-27-62
Liu C.
Rosatello C.
6-796-26-2
Muchova K.
Rakhimova K.
6-47-5
Giorgi C.
Rus A.
4-66-26-3
Cirstea S.
Volynets K.
2-66-36-4
Cocciaretto E.
Davis L.
6-36-0
Parrizas Diaz N.
Niemeier J.
4-66-46-2
Cornet A.
Martincova T.
7-626-4
Townsend T.
Bonaventure Y.
4-66-17-5
Osorio C.
Gracheva V.
7-641-67-64
Ruse E.
Fruhvirtova L.
6-16-0
Frech M.
Paoletti M.
4-66-27-5
Blinkova A.
Sherif M.
2-66-26-3
Kenin S.
Bucsa C.
6-36-787-5
Tsurenko L.
Svitolina E.
6-46-3
Stephens S.
Podoroska N.
6-46-1
Grabher J.
Brancaccio N.
6-43-66-2
Mcnally C.
Spiteri D.
6-06-1
Bondar A.
Maria T.
6-46-1
Pigato L.
Cherubini D.
7-52-66-3
Putintseva Y.
Tomova V.
6-757-636-0
Pavlyuchenkova A.
Errani S.
6-16-1
Noskova L.
Rogers S.
4-66-16-4
Kalinskaya A.
Yastremska D.
6-46-2
Bogdan A.
Hibino N.
7-56-0