Marie Bouzkova vs Jessica PegulaCincinnati Round of 16

Cincinnati · WTA · Round of 16
#23WTA
1871ELO
1798Hard ELO
$844kYTD
$7.2MCAREER
27 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 14 August 2023
hard
#4WTA
2097ELO
2058Hard ELO
$2.8MYTD
$25MCAREER
32 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWWWL
Bouzkova M.
6-4 6-0
Pegula J.
Bouzkova M.
662
Pegula J.
400

Marie Bouzkova defeated Jessica Pegula 6-4 6-0 in the Cincinnati round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Jessica Pegula came in ranked #4, leading the head-to-head 2–1, defending last year's quarter-final. Marie Bouzkova narrowed the head-to-head to 2–2.

Key context

Head to head

12
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-04-24MadridR32clayJessica Pegula6-4 7-6(2)
2022-03-07Indian WellsR64hardMarie Bouzkova5-7 6-2 6-0
2020-08-31US OpenR128hardJessica Pegula3-6 6-2 7-6(3)

Serve vs return

This season
Bouzkova M.serving71% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Pegula J.

Pegula J.serving77% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Bouzkova M.

Serve advantage — Pegula J.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Bouzkova M.Pegula J.
10
Serve
68
81
Return
73

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
65%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
64%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
50%
Service points won·Even
58%
61%
Return points won·Even
45%
45%
Break points saved·Even
56%
58%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.2
3.0
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.1
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (165 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
79
96
Break points saved·Slight edge
90
96
Break points won·Even
98
99
Deciding sets·Dominant
75
100
Tiebreaks·Dominant
71
96

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
8.3
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
1.5Hard Elo 1798
Surface ELO
8.5+260 Hard Elo edge
1.6Overall Elo 1871
ELO gap
8.4Overall Elo 2097
10.0
H2H
0.0
4.4
Surface form
9.3
Win streak
9.07-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
4.8
Minutes 14d
1.0
4.0
3-set count
0.0
7.0
Prev. match
Country comfort
8.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
7.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
81
76

Bouzkova M.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 20 games (7d) · Pegula J.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 54 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
23°CRain
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 92%

Draw