Paula Badosa vs Elena RybakinaCincinnati Round of 16

Cincinnati · WTA · Round of 16
#115WTA
1780ELO
1748Hard ELO
28 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWLLWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 16 August 2021
hard
#2WTA
2122ELO
2110Hard ELO
$4.4MYTD
$29MCAREER
27 yrs · 184 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWLWLW
Badosa P.
6-2 7-6
Rybakina E.
Badosa P.
6772
Rybakina E.
2650

Paula Badosa defeated Elena Rybakina 6-2 7-6 in the Cincinnati round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Elena Rybakina came in ranked #2, leading the head-to-head 5–2, defending last year's round of 64. Paula Badosa narrowed the head-to-head to 5–3.

Key context

  • Match story: Paula Badosa closed it out in two sets, 6–2 7–6.

Head to head

25
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-01-04BrisbaneR16hardElena Rybakina6-3 6-2
2025-02-17DubaiR16hardElena Rybakina4-6 7-6(8) 7-6(2)
2023-03-20MiamiR32hardElena Rybakina3-6 7-5 6-3
2023-03-06Indian WellsR32hardElena Rybakina6-3 7-5
2022-11-09BJK Cup Finals RR: ESP vs KAZRRhardPaula Badosa6-2 3-6 6-4
2022-04-18StuttgartR16clayPaula Badosa6-2 4-6 7-6(4)
2019-07-15BucharestR32clayElena Rybakina7-5 7-6(4)

Serve vs return

This season
Badosa P.serving77% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Rybakina E.

Rybakina E.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Badosa P.

Serve advantage — Rybakina E.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Badosa P.Rybakina E.
21
Serve
100
19
Return
34

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
59%
59%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
68%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
49%
Service points won·Even
59%
63%
Return points won·Even
44%
43%
Break points saved·Slight edge
59%
64%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.2
6.9
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.9
2.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
93
92
Break points saved·Even
95
98
Break points won·Even
94
96
Deciding sets·Even
95
97
Tiebreaks·Even
94
93

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
7.7
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
0.0Hard Elo 1748
Surface ELO
10.0+362 Hard Elo edge
0.0Overall Elo 1780
ELO gap
10.0Overall Elo 2122
5.0
H2H
5.0
5.5
Surface form
4.7
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
7.8
Minutes 14d
6.6
7.0
3-set count
4.0
7.0
Prev. match
7.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
63
92

Badosa P.: 2 days rest · 5 matches, 98 games (7d) · Rybakina E.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
23°CDrizzle
Wind 1 km/hHumidity 86%

Draw