

Elena Rybakina defeated Paula Badosa 4-6 7-6 7-6 in the Dubai round of 16 on hard. The result followed the form book — Elena Rybakina came in ranked #2, leading the head-to-head 4–3, defending last year's quarter-final. Elena Rybakina extended the head-to-head to 5–3.
| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-04 | Brisbane | R16 | hard | Elena Rybakina | 6-3 6-2 |
| 2023-03-20 | Miami | R32 | hard | Elena Rybakina | 3-6 7-5 6-3 |
| 2023-03-06 | Indian Wells | R32 | hard | Elena Rybakina | 6-3 7-5 |
| 2022-11-09 | BJK Cup Finals RR: ESP vs KAZ | RR | hard | Paula Badosa | 6-2 3-6 6-4 |
| 2022-04-18 | Stuttgart | R16 | clay | Paula Badosa | 6-2 4-6 7-6(4) |
| 2021-08-16 | Cincinnati | R16 | hard | Paula Badosa | 6-2 7-6(5) |
| 2019-07-15 | Bucharest | R32 | clay | Elena Rybakina | 7-5 7-6(4) |
Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (96 vs 47). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Rybakina E.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Badosa P.: 1 day rest · 5 matches, 98 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About