Elena Rybakina vs Paula BadosaDubai Round of 16

Dubai · WTA · Round of 16
#2WTA
2122ELO
2110Hard ELO
$4.4MYTD
$29MCAREER
27 yrs · 184 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWLWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 17 February 2025
hard
#141WTA
1780ELO
1748Hard ELO
28 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWLLWWL
Rybakina E.
4-6 7-6 7-6
Badosa P.
Rybakina E.
4710772
Badosa P.
668621

Elena Rybakina defeated Paula Badosa 4-6 7-6 7-6 in the Dubai round of 16 on hard. The result followed the form book — Elena Rybakina came in ranked #2, leading the head-to-head 4–3, defending last year's quarter-final. Elena Rybakina extended the head-to-head to 5–3.

Key context

Head to head

43
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-01-04BrisbaneR16hardElena Rybakina6-3 6-2
2023-03-20MiamiR32hardElena Rybakina3-6 7-5 6-3
2023-03-06Indian WellsR32hardElena Rybakina6-3 7-5
2022-11-09BJK Cup Finals RR: ESP vs KAZRRhardPaula Badosa6-2 3-6 6-4
2022-04-18StuttgartR16clayPaula Badosa6-2 4-6 7-6(4)
2021-08-16CincinnatiR16hardPaula Badosa6-2 7-6(5)
2019-07-15BucharestR32clayElena Rybakina7-5 7-6(4)

Serve vs return

This season
Rybakina E.serving85% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Badosa P.

Badosa P.serving77% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Rybakina E.

Serve advantage — Rybakina E.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Rybakina E.Badosa P.
100
Serve
21
34
Return
19

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
58%
58%
1st serve points won·Even
74%
70%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
51%
43%
Service points won·Slight edge
64%
59%
Return points won·Even
43%
43%
Break points saved·Slight edge
64%
55%
Aces / match·Clear edge
7.0
4.5
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.9
5.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (96 vs 47). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
92
93
Break points saved·Even
98
95
Break points won·Even
96
94
Deciding sets·Even
97
95
Tiebreaks·Even
93
94

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
8.5
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
10.0+362 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
0.0Hard Elo 1748
10.0Overall Elo 2122
ELO gap
0.0Overall Elo 1780
7.2
H2H
2.8
7.0
Surface form
6.1
Fatigue & Travel
3.2
Minutes 14d
7.4
0.0
3-set count
7.0
9.0
Prev. match
8.0
6.4
Country comfort
Context
7.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
91
58

Rybakina E.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Badosa P.: 1 day rest · 5 matches, 98 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
27°CClear
Wind 13 km/hHumidity 45%

Draw