Anastasia Potapova vs Marta KostyukMiami Round of 64

Miami · WTA · Round of 64
#28WTA
1904ELO
1804Hard ELO
$1.2MYTD
$6.5MCAREER
25 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLWWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 20 March 2023
hard
#13WTA
2057ELO
1968Hard ELO
$2.3MYTD
$9.1MCAREER
24 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWLWWW
Potapova A.
6-1 6-3
Kostyuk M.
Potapova A.
662
Kostyuk M.
130

Anastasia Potapova defeated Marta Kostyuk 6-1 6-3 in the Miami round of 64 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Marta Kostyuk came in ranked #13, leading the head-to-head 3–1, defending last year's round of 64. Anastasia Potapova narrowed the head-to-head to 3–2.

Key context

Head to head

13
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-04-21MadridSFclayMarta Kostyuk6-2 1-6 6-1
2025-04-22MadridR16clayMarta Kostyuk6-3 6-2
2024-03-06Indian WellsQFhardMarta Kostyuk6-0 7-5
2023-06-19BirminghamR32grassAnastasia Potapova6-7(6) 7-5 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Potapova A.serving64% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Kostyuk M.

Kostyuk M.serving69% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Potapova A.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Potapova A.Kostyuk M.
11
Serve
53
52
Return
57

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
56%
59%
1st serve points won·Even
64%
66%
2nd serve points won·Even
45%
45%
Service points won·Even
56%
57%
Return points won·Even
45%
46%
Break points saved·Even
57%
57%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.4
3.0
Double faults / match·Clear edge
4.7
6.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (164 vs 163). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
81
92
Break points saved·Even
89
93
Break points won·Slight edge
88
98
Deciding sets·Even
96
98
Tiebreaks·Dominant
57
85

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
7.5
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.9Hard Elo 1804
Surface ELO
7.1+163 Hard Elo edge
3.0Overall Elo 1904
ELO gap
7.0Overall Elo 2057
5.0
H2H
5.0
6.6
Surface form
7.1
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.0
Minutes 14d
8.2
4.0
3-set count
7.0
6.0
Prev. match
6.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
98
65

Potapova A.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Kostyuk M.: 2 days rest · 4 matches, 82 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
19°COvercast
Wind 18 km/hHumidity 73%

Draw