Anastasia Potapova vs Marta KostyukBirmingham Round of 32

Birmingham · WTA · Round of 32
#27WTA
1904ELO
1687Grass ELO
$1.2MYTD
$6.5MCAREER
25 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLWWWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 19 June 2023
grass
#11WTA
2057ELO
1737Grass ELO
$2.3MYTD
$9.1MCAREER
24 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWLWWW
Potapova A.
6-7 7-5 6-4
Kostyuk M.
Potapova A.
66762
Kostyuk M.
78541

Anastasia Potapova defeated Marta Kostyuk 6-7 7-5 6-4 in the Birmingham round of 32 on grass. The upset overturned the form book — Marta Kostyuk came in ranked #11, leading the head-to-head 3–1. Anastasia Potapova narrowed the head-to-head to 3–2.

Key context

Head to head

13
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-04-21MadridSFclayMarta Kostyuk6-2 1-6 6-1
2025-04-22MadridR16clayMarta Kostyuk6-3 6-2
2024-03-06Indian WellsQFhardMarta Kostyuk6-0 7-5
2023-03-20MiamiR64hardAnastasia Potapova6-1 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Potapova A.serving73% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Kostyuk M.

Kostyuk M.serving77% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Potapova A.

Serve advantage — Kostyuk M.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
56%
58%
1st serve points won·Even
64%
66%
2nd serve points won·Even
45%
45%
Service points won·Even
56%
57%
Return points won·Even
45%
46%
Break points saved·Even
57%
57%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.4
3.0
Double faults / match·Clear edge
4.7
6.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (164 vs 163). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
81
92
Break points saved·Even
89
93
Break points won·Slight edge
88
98
Deciding sets·Even
96
98
Tiebreaks·Dominant
57
85

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
Form & Matchup
4.5Grass Elo 1687
Surface ELO
5.5+51 Grass Elo edge
3.0Overall Elo 1904
ELO gap
7.0Overall Elo 2057
5.0
H2H
5.0
3.6
Surface form
5.5
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
8.0
Prev. match
9.0
3.0
Surface transition
3.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
99
73

Potapova A.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Kostyuk M.: 4 days rest · 3 matches, 57 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast