Marta Kostyuk vs Anastasia Potapova — Madrid Round of 16

Madrid · WTA · Round of 16
Marta Kostyuk
UKR24
Marta Kostyuk
#13WTA
2057ELO
1992Clay ELO
$2.3MYTD
$9.1MCAREER
24 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWLWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Tuesday, 22 April 2025
clay
Anastasia Potapova
RUS
Anastasia Potapova
#28WTA
1904ELO
1882Clay ELO
$1.2MYTD
$6.5MCAREER
25 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLWWWLW
Kostyuk M.
6-3 6-2
Potapova A.
Kostyuk M.
662
Potapova A.
320

Marta Kostyuk defeated Anastasia Potapova 6-3 6-2 in the Madrid round of 16 on clay. The result followed the form book — Marta Kostyuk came in ranked #13, defending last year's round of 64. Marta Kostyuk extended the head-to-head to 3–2.

Key context

Head to head

2–2
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-04-21MadridSFclayMarta Kostyuk6-2 1-6 6-1
2024-03-06Indian WellsQFhardMarta Kostyuk6-0 7-5
2023-06-19BirminghamR32grassAnastasia Potapova6-7(6) 7-5 6-4
2023-03-20MiamiR64hardAnastasia Potapova6-1 6-3
View full head-to-head →

Serve vs return

This season
Kostyuk M.serving71% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Potapova A.

Potapova A.serving62% hold

wins 55% of points on serve vs Kostyuk M.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Kostyuk M.Potapova A.
61
Serve
—
100
Return
—

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Kostyuk M.Potapova A.
1st serve in·Even
59%
55%
1st serve points won·Even
67%
66%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
46%
Service points won·Even
59%
57%
Return points won·Even
46%
44%
Break points saved·Slight edge
62%
57%
Aces / match·Even
3.1
2.8
Double faults / match·Clear edge
5.3
4.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (62 vs 62). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Kostyuk M.Potapova A.
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
92
81
Break points saved·Even
93
89
Break points won·Slight edge
98
88
Deciding sets·Even
98
96
Tiebreaks·Dominant
85
57

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Kostyuk M.
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Potapova A.
4.7
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
Form & Matchup
6.4+111 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.6Clay Elo 1882
7.0Overall Elo 2057
ELO gap
3.0Overall Elo 1904
5.0
H2H
5.0
5.8
Surface form
5.7
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
8.4
3-set count
7.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Kostyuk M.Potapova A.
Freshness·Dominant
65
98

Kostyuk M.: 2 days rest · 4 matches, 82 games (7d) · Potapova A.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
14°CMainly clear
Wind 2 km/hHumidity 74%

Draw

Final
Sabalenka A.[1]
Gauff C.[4]
6-37-63
Semi-finals
Gauff C.[4]
Swiatek I.[2]
6-16-1
Sabalenka A.[1]
Svitolina E.[17]
6-37-5
Quarter-finals
Sabalenka A.[1]
Kostyuk M.[24]
7-647-67
Svitolina E.[17]
Uchijima M.
6-26-1
Swiatek I.[2]
Keys M.[5]
0-66-36-2
Gauff C.[4]
Andreeva M.[7]
7-56-1
R16
Uchijima M.
Alexandrova E.[21]
6-47-65
Swiatek I.[2]
Shnaider D.[13]
6-06-736-4
Andreeva M.[7]
Starodubtseva Y.
6-16-4
Svitolina E.[17]
Sakkari M.
6-36-4
Sabalenka A.[1]
Stearns P.
6-26-4
Kostyuk M.[24]
Potapova A.
6-36-2
Gauff C.[4]
Bencic B.
6-46-2
Keys M.[5]
Vekic D.[19]
6-26-3
R32
Shnaider D.[13]
Sevastova A.
6-06-0
Svitolina E.[17]
Rybakina E.[10]
6-36-4
Vekic D.[19]
Navarro E.[11]
4-66-36-2
Starodubtseva Y.
Samsonova L.[18]
2-67-626-0
Andreeva M.[7]
Frech M.[27]
7-56-3
Stearns P.
Masarova R.
6-26-0
Kostyuk M.[24]
Kudermetova V.
6-04-66-4
Gauff C.[4]
Li A.
6-26-3
Alexandrova E.[21]
Kasatkina D.[14]
6-37-63
Swiatek I.[2]
Noskova L.[31]
6-46-2
Sabalenka A.[1]
Mertens E.[28]
3-66-26-1
Keys M.[5]
Kalinskaya A.[30]
7-57-63
Bencic B.
Haddad Maia B.[16]
6-34-67-62
Potapova A.
Kenin S.[32]
3-66-47-66
Uchijima M.
Pegula J.[3]
6-36-2
Sakkari M.
Paolini J.[6]
6-26-1
R64
Gauff C.[4]
Yastremska D.
0-66-27-5
Sabalenka A.[1]
Blinkova A.
6-36-4
Kenin S.[32]
Sun L.
6-36-2
Shnaider D.[13]
Volynets K.
6-16-2
Masarova R.
Putintseva Y.[22]
6-36-3
Swiatek I.[2]
Eala A.
4-66-46-2
Uchijima M.
Jabeur O.[26]
4-66-36-4
Vekic D.[19]
Baptiste H.
6-46-3
Haddad Maia B.[16]
Pera B.
2-66-36-1
Sevastova A.
Ostapenko J.[23]
7-626-2
Samsonova L.[18]
Dolehide C.
6-46-4
Kasatkina D.[14]
Parks A.
6-27-5
Mertens E.[28]
Osorio C.
6-36-3
Sakkari M.
Linette M.[29]
7-656-3
Starodubtseva Y.
Cocciaretto E.
7-656-4
Kudermetova V.
Bucsa C.
4-67-617-5
Rybakina E.[10]
Andreescu B.
6-36-2
Pegula J.[3]
Lys E.
6-26-2
Bencic B.
Tauson C.[20]
7-57-5
Navarro E.[11]
Joint M.
7-57-5
Frech M.[27]
Bouzas Maneiro J.
5-77-626-4
Andreeva M.[7]
Bouzkova M.
6-36-4
Keys M.[5]
Bronzetti L.
6-46-3
Kalinskaya A.[30]
Parry D.
7-646-4
Noskova L.[31]
Carle M.
7-56-1
Stearns P.
Anisimova A.[15]
6-22-67-5
Kostyuk M.[24]
Raducanu E.
6-42-66-2
Potapova A.
Zheng Q.[8]
6-46-4
Alexandrova E.[21]
Danilovic O.
6-36-4
Svitolina E.[17]
Kartal S.
6-36-1
Paolini J.[6]
Boulter K.
6-16-2
Li A.
Fernandez L.[25]
6-43-66-4
R128
Li A.
Sasnovich A.
6-36-2
Sakkari M.
Wang X.
6-47-67
Parks A.
Jimenez Kasintseva V.
6-36-3
Bouzas Maneiro J.
Sherif M.
6-36-1
Carle M.
Sramkova R.
6-36-2
Osorio C.
Arango E.
6-36-3
Pera B.
Fett J.
6-46-3
Bronzetti L.
Osaka N.
6-42-66-4
Potapova A.
Krueger A.
6-776-46-2
Raducanu E.
Lamens S.
7-646-4
Eala A.
Tomova V.
6-36-2
Starodubtseva Y.
Fruhvirtova L.
6-26-2
Baptiste H.
Cirstea S.
6-25-77-64
Kudermetova V.
Kudermetova P.
6-26-2
Yastremska D.
Jones F.
7-654-66-3
Masarova R.
Tomljanovic A.
6-31-67-5
Parry D.
Begu I.
6-36-4
Bencic B.
Sonmez Z.
6-06-2
Bouzkova M.
Zarazua R.
6-24-66-1
Dolehide C.
Avanesyan E.
6-46-4
Lys E.
Kostovic T.
6-26-2
Joint M.
Martinez Cirez C.
6-22-66-4
Boulter K.
Siniakova K.
4-66-26-1
Sun L.
Gracheva V.
3-66-16-4
Kartal S.
Cristian J.
6-27-5
Volynets K.
Kvitova P.
6-46-0
Stearns P.
Birrell K.
5-76-36-4
Blinkova A.
Udvardy P.
6-46-2
Uchijima M.
Montgomery R.
1-66-46-3
Andreescu B.
Kessler M.
6-26-4
Danilovic O.
Azarenka V.
6-46-2
Sevastova A.
Pavlyuchenkova A.
6-47-5