Marta Kostyuk vs Anastasia Potapova — Madrid Semi-final

Madrid · WTA · Semi-final
Marta Kostyuk
UKR26
Marta Kostyuk
#13WTA
2057ELO
1992Clay ELO
$2.3MYTD
$9.1MCAREER
24 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWLWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Tuesday, 21 April 2026
clay
Anastasia Potapova
RUS
Anastasia Potapova
#28WTA
1904ELO
1882Clay ELO
$1.2MYTD
$6.5MCAREER
25 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLWWWLW
Kostyuk M.
6-2 1-6 6-1
Potapova A.
Kostyuk M.
6162
Potapova A.
2611

Marta Kostyuk defeated Anastasia Potapova 6-2 1-6 6-1 in the Madrid semi-final on clay. The result followed the form book — Marta Kostyuk came in ranked #13, defending last year's quarter-final. Marta Kostyuk extended the head-to-head to 3–2.

Key context

  • Match story: Marta Kostyuk closed it out in three sets, 6–2 1–6 6–1.

Head to head

2–2
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-04-22MadridR16clayMarta Kostyuk6-3 6-2
2024-03-06Indian WellsQFhardMarta Kostyuk6-0 7-5
2023-06-19BirminghamR32grassAnastasia Potapova6-7(6) 7-5 6-4
2023-03-20MiamiR64hardAnastasia Potapova6-1 6-3
View full head-to-head →

Serve vs return

This season
Kostyuk M.serving74% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Potapova A.

Potapova A.serving53% hold

wins 51% of points on serve vs Kostyuk M.

Serve advantage — Kostyuk M.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Kostyuk M.Potapova A.
61
Serve
—
100
Return
—

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Kostyuk M.Potapova A.
1st serve in·Even
60%
58%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
71%
66%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
44%
Service points won·Slight edge
62%
57%
Return points won·Slight edge
50%
45%
Break points saved·Even
61%
62%
Aces / match·Even
3.1
3.4
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.8
4.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (19 vs 25). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Kostyuk M.Potapova A.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
93
81
Break points saved·Even
93
89
Break points won·Slight edge
98
88
Deciding sets·Even
99
96
Tiebreaks·Dominant
85
57

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Kostyuk M.
7.9
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Potapova A.
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.4+111 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.6Clay Elo 1882
7.0Overall Elo 2057
ELO gap
3.0Overall Elo 1904
10.0
H2H
0.0
8.4
Surface form
5.8
9.07-match win streak
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
5.5
Minutes 14d
4.0
3-set count
8.0
Prev. match
8.0
Surface transition
6.0
Context
7.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Kostyuk M.Potapova A.
Freshness·Dominant
64
98

Kostyuk M.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 93 games (7d) · Potapova A.: 10 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
22°COvercast
Wind 3 km/hHumidity 34%

Draw

Final
Kostyuk M.[26]
Andreeva M.[9]
6-37-5
Semi-finals
Andreeva M.[9]
Baptiste H.[30]
6-47-68
Kostyuk M.[26]
Potapova A.
6-21-66-1
Quarter-finals
Kostyuk M.[26]
Noskova L.[13]
7-616-0
Potapova A.
Pliskova K.
6-16-746-3
Baptiste H.[30]
Sabalenka A.[1]
2-66-27-66
Andreeva M.[9]
Fernandez L.[24]
7-616-3
R16
Sabalenka A.[1]
Osaka N.[14]
6-716-36-2
Noskova L.[13]
Gauff C.[3]
6-41-67-65
Andreeva M.[9]
Bondar A.
6-756-37-65
Kostyuk M.[26]
Mcnally C.
6-26-3
Baptiste H.[30]
Bencic B.[11]
6-16-7146-3
Fernandez L.[24]
Li A.[31]
6-36-2
Pliskova K.
Sierra S.
6-46-3
Potapova A.
Rybakina E.[2]
7-686-4
R32
Noskova L.[13]
Samsonova L.[20]
W/O
Li A.[31]
Swiatek I.[4]
7-642-63-0
Pliskova K.
Mertens E.[19]
7-52-67-63
Andreeva M.[9]
Galfi D.
6-36-2
Bondar A.
Samson L.
7-636-1
Mcnally C.
Siniakova K.
6-32-67-62
Sierra S.
Sonmez Z.
0-66-26-3
Kostyuk M.[26]
Pegula J.[5]
6-16-4
Rybakina E.[2]
Zheng Q.[32]
4-66-46-3
Bencic B.[11]
Shnaider D.[18]
6-27-66
Gauff C.[3]
Cirstea S.[25]
4-67-56-1
Baptiste H.[30]
Paolini J.[8]
7-56-3
Potapova A.
Ostapenko J.[21]
4-66-46-4
Fernandez L.[24]
Jovic I.[15]
3-66-36-2
Osaka N.[14]
Kalinina A.
6-16-3
Sabalenka A.[1]
Cristian J.[29]
6-16-4
R64
Fernandez L.[24]
Grabher J.
6-26-3
Paolini J.[8]
Siegemund L.
3-66-26-4
Pliskova K.
Sakkari M.[33]
6-47-66
Osaka N.[14]
Osorio C.
6-27-5
Cirstea S.[25]
Grant T.
6-27-65
Baptiste H.[30]
Quevedo K.
6-16-4
Samsonova L.[20]
Tjen J.
6-26-1
Kostyuk M.[26]
Putintseva Y.
6-16-3
Sierra S.
Frech M.[34]
6-26-4
Bencic B.[11]
Marcinko P.
6-46-2
Rybakina E.[2]
Ruse E.
4-66-37-5
Kalinina A.
Bouzkova M.[23]
6-46-3
Pegula J.[5]
Boulter K.
6-46-4
Galfi D.
Kalinskaya A.[22]
6-36-3
Zheng Q.[32]
Kenin S.
1-66-36-3
Gauff C.[3]
Jeanjean L.
6-36-0
Sonmez Z.
Bucsa C.[27]
6-16-746-2
Noskova L.[13]
Arango E.
6-36-2
Jovic I.[15]
Linette M.
6-46-1
Mcnally C.
Mboko V.[10]
6-46-1
Shnaider D.[18]
Bouzas Maneiro J.
3-67-56-1
Samson L.
Wang X.[28]
2-66-36-0
Ostapenko J.[21]
Waltert S.
6-27-5
Potapova A.
Zhang S.
6-36-1
Swiatek I.[4]
Snigur D.
6-16-2
Li A.[31]
Parks A.
6-26-756-3
Sabalenka A.[1]
Stearns P.
7-56-3
Mertens E.[19]
Eala A.
6-26-1
Cristian J.[29]
Starodubtseva Y.
3-67-656-4
Andreeva M.[9]
Udvardy P.
7-56-2
Bondar A.
Svitolina E.[7]
6-36-4
Siniakova K.
Blinkova A.
6-26-2
R128
Sierra S.
Yastremska D.
7-6107-68
Sonmez Z.
Martinez Cirez C.
7-56-2
Pliskova K.
Kraus S.
2-66-16-4
Zhang S.
Lys E.
6-46-3
Putintseva Y.
Valentova T.
6-44-66-3
Stearns P.
Boisson L.
6-16-3
Siniakova K.
Kalieva E.
6-36-4
Bondar A.
Golubic V.
6-26-3
Eala A.
Pavlyuchenkova A.
6-36-3
Siegemund L.
Begu I.
6-46-0
Marcinko P.
Jimenez Kasintseva V.
6-07-5
Grabher J.
Badosa P.
7-634-66-0
Ruse E.
Ruzic A.
6-34-66-0
Kalinina A.
Rakhimova K.
6-25-76-2
Jeanjean L.
Selekhmeteva O.
6-46-1
Kenin S.
Krueger A.
7-626-4
Samson L.
Maria T.
6-46-2
Boulter K.
Townsend T.
6-46-2
Galfi D.
Tomljanovic A.
7-676-4
Arango E.
Gibson T.
6-36-2
Linette M.
Montgomery R.
6-46-3
Quevedo K.
Williams V.
6-26-4
Osorio C.
Zakharova A.
6-06-3
Starodubtseva Y.
Uchijima M.
6-31-66-3
Snigur D.
Kasatkina D.
6-33-67-613
Waltert S.
Oliynykova O.
7-56-0
Udvardy P.
Birrell K.
6-41-66-1
Parks A.
Cocciaretto E.
6-36-2
Mcnally C.
Volynets K.
6-16-2
Bouzas Maneiro J.
Haddad Maia B.
6-16-1
Tjen J.
Charaeva A.
6-46-2
Grant T.
Jacquemot E.
6-16-2