Taylor Fritz vs Holger Rune | Stockholm Quarter-final

UMPIRY

StockholmQuarter-finalHardThu 12 Nov · 18:30CENTER COURT · After 2 matches

Taylor Fritz(1)ATP #10 · USA63%

VSSlight edge · Fritz T.

Holger RuneATP #406 · DEN37%

Win probabilityWho is more likely to winSlight edge · Fritz T.

63%37%

Fritz T. favoured, but within the range where form on the day decides.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability

Fritz T.6.1/10

Even match

Rune H.5.1/10

Clear underdog

Why

Surface+114 Hard Elo edgeSupports Fritz T.

Overall ratingOverall Elo 1909Supports Fritz T.

Recent run2-match win streakAgainst the prediction · Rune H.

Head-to-headLeads 2–1 on hardSupports Fritz T.

This eventReached the semis here last yearAgainst the prediction · Rune H.

ELO2 153

Hard ELO1 986

Last 107–3

Age29

Height196 cm

PlaysRight

EarningsCareer $32.6M2026 $3.3M

ELO2 058

Hard ELO1 922

Last 105–5

Age23

Height188 cm

PlaysRight

EarningsCareer $15.7M

Taylor Fritz faces Holger Rune in the Stockholm quarter-final on hard. Taylor Fritz holds the paper edge — ranked #10, leading the head-to-head 2–1, a roughly 110-point hard Elo advantage.

Key context

Freshness: Taylor Fritz comes in with 1 days of rest and 191 games in 14d, vs Holger Rune's 1 and 93.
Last match: Holger Rune dropped the opening set before beating Miomir Kecmanovic 2–6 6–1 6–4.
Head-to-head: Taylor Fritz leads the head-to-head 2–1. Last met at Shanghai Masters 2024.

Common opponents

3 shared · last 12 months

All 3 opponents →

Fritz T. and Rune H. faced 3 of the same opponents in the last 12 months. Fritz T. went 2–2 (50%) against them, Rune H. 2–1 (67%). Results against comparable opponents are close (0 : 1 better-results split).

2–250%Fritz T. · better vs 0Record vs common opponents2–167%Rune H. · better vs 1

Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines

3–5Sets5–3

44–45Games40–37

0–3Tiebreaks1–0

0–0Deciding sets1–1

Only 3 common opponents — small sample, treat as indicative.

vs Vacherot V.#27L6-7(5) 3-6Basel · hardL3-6 6-3 3-6Basel · hard
vs Hurkacz H.#30L6-7 6-7United Cup · hardW3-6 6-3 7-6(7)Basel · hard
vs Bergs Z.#44W6-3 6-4Washington · hardW6-3 6-4Stockholm · hard

Head-to-head

3 meetings · Fritz T. leads 2–1

Full H2H →

Fritz T.October 2024Shanghai MastersHard6-1 6-2
Rune H.March 2024Indian Wells MastersHard2-6 7-6 6-3
Fritz T.March 2023Miami MastersHard6-3 6-4

Evidence

Fritz T.Rune H.

FormLast 10 matches each · 2026

Win–loss7–35–5

Season win rate67% (44–22)50% (4–4)

RatingUmpiry ELO

Overall ELO21532058

Hard-court ELO19861922

Serve vs returnLast 66 vs 8 matches

1st-serve points won80%73%

Return points won35%31%

Aces / match14.26.6

ClutchLast 66 vs 8 matches

Break points saved69%52%

When it starts

CENTER COURT · After 2 matches · Not before 18:30

1Michelsen A. v Tabilo A.Starts at 13:00
2Tirante T. v Shevchenko A.Not before 15:00
3This match: Fritz T. v Rune H.This match
4Musetti L. v Humbert U.Followed by

Draw

Odds

Conditions

CENTER COURT · 18:30 local

SurfaceHard · medium

Forecast5°C · Overcast

Wind11 km/h

Humidity89%

Court pace medium: balanced pace.

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days

Fritz T.Rune H.

1Days since last match1

3Matches · 7 days2

74Games · 7 days44

8Matches · 14 days4

191Games · 14 days93

Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Taylor Fritz vs Holger Rune — Stockholm Quarter-final", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-11-12/fritz-vs-rune-stockholm-qf?utm_source=cite (as of 12 November 2026).