Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Alexander Shevchenko

UMPIRY

StockholmQuarter-finalHardThu 12 Nov · 15:00CENTER COURT · After 1 match

Thiago Agustin TiranteATP #51 · ARG61%

VSSlight edge · Tirante T.

Alexander ShevchenkoATP #107 · KAZ39%

Win probabilityWho is more likely to winSlight edge · Tirante T.

61%39%

Tirante T. favoured, but within the range where form on the day decides.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability

Tirante T.6.3/10

Marginal edge

Shevchenko A.5.3/10

Clear underdog

Why

Surface+6 Hard Elo edgeAgainst the prediction · Shevchenko A.

Overall ratingOverall Elo 1741Supports Tirante T.

Recent run4-match win streakAgainst the prediction · Shevchenko A.

Head-to-headLeads 1–0 on hardSupports Tirante T.

This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players

ELO1 935

Hard ELO1 739

Last 104–6

Age25

Height185 cm

PlaysRight

EarningsCareer $2.5M2026 $1.2M

ELO1 827

Hard ELO1 708

Last 107–3

Age25

Height185 cm

PlaysRight

EarningsCareer $3.8M2026 $727K

Thiago Agustin Tirante faces Alexander Shevchenko in the Stockholm quarter-final on hard. Thiago Agustin Tirante is the paper favourite — ranked #51, leading the head-to-head 1–0 — but Alexander Shevchenko arrives in form, winning 7 of their last 10 on hard to Thiago Agustin Tirante's 4 of 10.

Key context

Last match: Alexander Shevchenko dropped the opening set before beating Casper Ruud 6–7 6–4 6–3.
Last match: Thiago Agustin Tirante received a walkover from Tomas Martin Etcheverry.
Fatigue load: Both played two three-setters in the past fortnight — neither arrives fresh.

Common opponents

6 shared · last 12 months

Tirante T. and Shevchenko A. faced 6 of the same opponents in the last 12 months. Tirante T. went 3–5 (38%) against them, Shevchenko A. 3–3 (50%). Results against comparable opponents are close (0 : 1 better-results split).

3–538%Tirante T. · better vs 0Record vs common opponents3–350%Shevchenko A. · better vs 1

Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines

9–11Sets8–7

97–99Games69–74

2–2Tiebreaks2–1

0–2Deciding sets0–1

vs Tien L.#22L4-6 4-6Montreal · hardL2-6 7-5 1-6 0-6Australian Open · hard
vs Struff J.#37L1-6 4-6Beijing · hardL6-3 6-7(5) 4-6Kitzbuhel · clay
vs Mannarino A.#61L4-6 6-7(5)Vienna · hardW6-1 6-3Stockholm · hard

Show 3 more ▾Show less ▴

vs Llamas Ruiz P.#142W6-3 6-0Roland Garros · clayW6-3 6-4Cincinnati · hard
vs Bautista-Agut R.#239W6-2 6-4Madrid Masters · clayW7-6 7-6Monte Carlo Masters · clay
vs Munar J.#70Hard to compareW7-6(3) 6-3Stockholm · hardL4-6 1-6Madrid Masters · clay

Head-to-head

1 meeting · Tirante T. leads 1–0

Tirante T.March 2025Miami MastersHard6-3 6-3

Evidence

Tirante T.Shevchenko A.

FormLast 10 matches each · 2026

Win–loss4–67–3

Season win rate57% (34–26)48% (32–35)

RatingUmpiry ELO

Overall ELO19351827

Hard-court ELO17391708

Serve vs returnLast 52 vs 62 matches

1st-serve points won76%71%

Return points won35%35%

Aces / match9.26.1

ClutchLast 52 vs 62 matches

Break points saved61%61%

When it starts

CENTER COURT · After 1 match · Not before 15:00

1Michelsen A. v Tabilo A.Starts at 13:00
2This match: Tirante T. v Shevchenko A.This match
3Fritz T. v Rune H.Not before 18:30
4Musetti L. v Humbert U.Followed by

Draw

Odds

Conditions

CENTER COURT · 15:00 local

SurfaceHard · medium

Forecast6°C · Drizzle

Wind19 km/h

Humidity86%

Court pace medium: balanced pace.

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days

Tirante T.Shevchenko A.

4Days since last match1

1Matches · 7 days4

22Games · 7 days80

4Matches · 14 days5

103Games · 14 days109

Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Alexander Shevchenko — Stockholm Quarter-final", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-11-12/shevchenko-vs-tirante-stockholm-qf?utm_source=cite (as of 12 November 2026).