Alexander Shevchenko vs Casper Ruud — Stockholm Round of 16
Why
Surface+246 Hard Elo edgeSupports Ruud C.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1983Supports Ruud C.
Recent run3-match win streakAgainst the prediction · Shevchenko A.
Head-to-headLeads 1–0 on hardSupports Ruud C.
This eventReached the final here last yearSupports Ruud C.
ELO1 803
Hard ELO1 686
Last 106–4
Age25
Height185 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $3.8M2026 $727K
ELO2 117
Hard ELO1 893
Last 107–3
Age27
Height183 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $29.4M2026 $2.2M
Alexander Shevchenko faces Casper Ruud in the Stockholm round of 16 on hard. Casper Ruud is the paper favourite — ranked #18, leading the head-to-head 2–0, defending the title — but Alexander Shevchenko rides a 3-match win streak. Recent hard form is closely matched.
Key context
- Freshness: Workload contrast: Alexander Shevchenko 61 games in 14 days, Casper Ruud 123.
- Under pressure: Casper Ruud has the edge on pressure points (Clutch Rating 89 vs Alexander Shevchenko's 51).
- Last match: Alexander Shevchenko dropped just 4 games past Adrian Mannarino.
Common opponents
12 shared · last 12 monthsShevchenko A. and Ruud C. faced 12 of the same opponents in the last 12 months. Shevchenko A. went 2–10 (17%) against them, Ruud C. 10–4 (71%). Ruud C. came out clearly better against 8 of 12 comparable opponents, Shevchenko A. against 1 — though 1 of those edges carries caveats (retirement).
2–1017%Shevchenko A. · better vs 1Record vs common opponents10–471%Ruud C. · better vs 8
Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines
7–23Sets23–13
113–169Games191–162
2–3Tiebreaks3–2
1–2Deciding sets4–0
vs Shelton B.#4W6-7 7-6 6-3Miami Masters · hardL6-3 4-6 3-6 4-6Australian Open · hard
vs Auger-Aliassime F.#14L3-6 1-6 4-6Wimbledon · grassL5-7 2-2Monte Carlo Masters · clay- vs Tien L.#22L2-6 7-5 1-6 0-6Australian Open · hardW6-4 7-6(3)Shanghai Masters · hard
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vs Khachanov K.#24L4-6 4-6Rome Masters · clayW6-1 1-6 6-2Rome Masters · clay
vs Vacherot V.#27L0-6 3-6KAZ vs MON · hardW3-6 6-3 6-4Indian Wells Masters · hard
vs Hurkacz H.#30L3-6 6-7(10)Chengdu · hardL4-6 2-6 6-7Wimbledon · grass
vs Tsitsipas S.#36L4-6 6-3 3-6Gstaad · clayW6-7 7-6 7-6Madrid Masters · clay
vs Struff J.#37L6-3 6-7(5) 4-6Kitzbuhel · clayW6-3 6-3Rolex Paris Masters - Paris · hard
vs Munar J.#70L4-6 1-6Madrid Masters · clayW6-0 6-1Madrid Masters · clay
vs Cilic M.#97L1-6 3-6Monte Carlo Masters · clayW6-4 6-4 3-6 7-5Australian Open · hard
vs O'Connell C.#117L4-6 1-6Cincinnati · hardL5-7 2-1Cincinnati · hard
vs Stricker D.#259W7-6(5) 6-2Gstaad · clayW4-6 7-5 6-3Basel · hard
Evidence
Shevchenko A.Ruud C.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss6–47–3 (ahead)
Season win rate47% (31–35)62% (34–21) (ahead)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO18032117 (ahead)
Hard-court ELO16861893 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 61 vs 54 matches
1st-serve points won70%72% (ahead)
Return points won35%36% (ahead)
Aces / match6.06.4 (ahead)
ClutchLast 61 vs 54 matches
Break points saved62%67% (ahead)
Draw
Odds
Cite this
Umpiry, "Alexander Shevchenko vs Casper Ruud — Stockholm Round of 16", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-11-11/ruud-vs-shevchenko-stockholm-r16?utm_source=cite (as of 11 November 2026).