Adrian Mannarino vs Alexander Shevchenko

UMPIRY

StockholmR32HardTue 10 Nov · 13:00COURT 1 · Next on

Adrian MannarinoATP #61 · FRA53%

VSToss-up

Alexander ShevchenkoATP #107 · KAZ47%

Win probabilityWho is more likely to winToss-up

53%47%

No meaningful edge. Serve performance in the first set is the likeliest tiebreaker.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability

Mannarino A.6.1/10

Even match

Shevchenko A.6.3/10

Marginal edge

Why

Surface+5 Hard Elo edgeSupports Mannarino A.

Overall ratingOverall Elo 1673Supports Mannarino A.

Recent run2-match win streakAgainst the prediction · Shevchenko A.

Long matches1 three-setter in 14 daysAgainst the prediction · Shevchenko A.

Head-to-headFirst meeting on hardBoth players

ELO1 918

Hard ELO1 791

Last 106–4

Age38

Height180 cm

PlaysLeft

EarningsCareer $15.6M2026 $1.3M

ELO1 803

Hard ELO1 686

Last 105–5

Age25

Height185 cm

PlaysRight

EarningsCareer $3.8M2026 $727K

Adrian Mannarino faces Alexander Shevchenko in the Stockholm round of 32 on hard. Adrian Mannarino holds the paper edge — ranked #61, leading the head-to-head 1–0. Recent hard form is closely matched.

Key context

Freshness: Adrian Mannarino comes in with 1 days of rest and 141 games in 14d, vs Alexander Shevchenko's 1 and 61.
Serve & return: Alexander Shevchenko leads on Serve Rating (28), Adrian Mannarino on Return Rating (21).
Last match: Alexander Shevchenko dropped just 6 games past Jacob Fearnley.

Common opponents

5 shared · last 12 months

Mannarino A. and Shevchenko A. faced 5 of the same opponents in the last 12 months. Mannarino A. went 1–4 (20%) against them, Shevchenko A. 1–4 (20%). Results against comparable opponents are close (1 : 1 better-results split).

1–420%Mannarino A. · better vs 1Record vs common opponents1–420%Shevchenko A. · better vs 1

Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines

2–9Sets3–10

49–65Games48–72

0–2Tiebreaks0–1

vs Tien L.#22W7-5 6-4Washington · hardL2-6 7-5 1-6 0-6Australian Open · hard
vs Khachanov K.#24L2-6 4-6Shanghai Masters · hardL4-6 4-6Rome Masters · clay
vs Michelsen A.#35L4-6 6-7(3)Washington · hardL2-6 4-6 2-6Roland Garros · clay

Show 2 more ▾Show less ▴

vs Humbert U.#39L3-6 4-6 3-6Roland Garros · clayL4-6 6-7Miami Masters · hard
vs Fearnley J.#87L6-7(3) 4-6Montreal · hardW6-2 6-4Stockholm · hard

Head-to-head

1 meeting · Mannarino A. leads 1–0

Mannarino A.July 2023WimbledonGrass6-3 6-3 6-2

Evidence

Mannarino A.Shevchenko A.

FormLast 10 matches each · 2026

Win–loss6–45–5

Season win rate44% (28–35)46% (30–35)

RatingUmpiry ELO

Overall ELO19181803

Hard-court ELO17911686

Serve vs returnLast 63 vs 60 matches

1st-serve points won70%70%

Return points won35%35%

Aces / match4.66.0

ClutchLast 63 vs 60 matches

Break points saved56%62%

When it starts

COURT 1 · Next on · Starts at 13:00

1This match: Mannarino A. v Shevchenko A.This match
2Sonego L. v Halys Q.Followed by
3Rinderknech A. v Kecmanovic M.Followed by

Draw

Odds

Conditions

COURT 1 · 13:00 local

SurfaceHard · medium

Forecast6°C · Overcast

Wind9 km/h

Humidity71%

Court pace medium: balanced pace.

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days

Mannarino A.Shevchenko A.

1Days since last match1

2Matches · 7 days3

45Games · 7 days61

6Matches · 14 days3

141Games · 14 days61

Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Adrian Mannarino vs Alexander Shevchenko — Stockholm Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-11-10/mannarino-vs-shevchenko-stockholm-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 10 November 2026).