Alex Michelsen vs Adrian Mannarino — Washington Round of 16
Michelsen A.
Alex Michelsen defeated Adrian Mannarino in the Round of 16 at the Washington tournament, winning 6-4, 7-6 on hard courts. Michelsen hit 11 aces to Mannarino's 1 and converted 50% of his break points, compared to Mannarino's 12%. Michelsen won 2 service breaks to Mannarino's 1.
Key context
- Match story: Alex Michelsen edged Adrian Mannarino in two tight sets (6–4 7–6).
Head to head
2–1| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-31 | Houston | R16 | clay | Alex Michelsen | 6-7 6-4 6-2 |
| 2024-06-24 | Mallorca | R16 | grass | Alex Michelsen | 7-6 6-4 |
| 2023-07-17 | Newport | F | grass | Adrian Mannarino | 6-2 6-4 |
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (33 vs 31). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 22:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Strong favourite · Michelsen A. heavily favoured
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Freshness
Recent loadMichelsen A.: 3 days rest · 3 matches, 72 games (7d) · Mannarino A.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 23 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About