Adrian Mannarino vs Alex MichelsenNewport Final

Newport · ATP · Final
#49ATP
1673ELO
1653Grass ELO
$633kYTD
$15MCAREER
38 yrs · 180 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLLWLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 17 July 2023
grass
#46ATP
1825ELO
1710Grass ELO
$785kYTD
$4.6MCAREER
21 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLWWLW
Mannarino A.
6-2 6-4
Michelsen A.
Mannarino A.
662
Michelsen A.
240

Adrian Mannarino defeated Alex Michelsen 6-2 6-4 in the Newport final on grass. The upset overturned the form book — Alex Michelsen came in ranked #46, leading the head-to-head 2–0. Adrian Mannarino claimed a first win over Alex Michelsen in three meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

Head to head

02
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-03-31HoustonR16clayAlex Michelsen6-7(0) 6-4 6-2
2024-06-24MallorcaR16grassAlex Michelsen7-6(5) 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Mannarino A.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Michelsen A.

Michelsen A.serving90% hold

wins 70% of points on serve vs Mannarino A.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
60%
67%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
71%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
52%
Service points won·Even
62%
65%
Return points won·Even
37%
37%
Break points saved·Even
59%
63%
Aces / match·Even
4.5
5.0
Double faults / match·Even
2.1
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
65
78
Break points saved·Even
96
98
Break points won·Clear edge
66
46
Deciding sets·Clear edge
72
91
Tiebreaks·Dominant
38
95

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.4Grass Elo 1653
Surface ELO
5.6+57 Grass Elo edge
3.0Overall Elo 1673
ELO gap
7.0Overall Elo 1825
5.0
H2H
5.0
6.6
Surface form
5.3
Win streak
9.05-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.7
Minutes 14d
3.9
4.0
3-set count
0.0
8.0
Prev. match
6.0
Surface transition
7.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
77
66

Mannarino A.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 46 games (7d) · Michelsen A.: 2 days rest · 4 matches, 78 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast