Alex Michelsen vs Adrian MannarinoMallorca Round of 16

Mallorca · ATP · Round of 16
#46ATP
1825ELO
1710Grass ELO
$785kYTD
$4.6MCAREER
21 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 24 June 2024
grass
#40ATP
1673ELO
1653Grass ELO
$633kYTD
$15MCAREER
38 yrs · 180 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLLWLWW
Michelsen A.
7-6 6-4
Mannarino A.
Michelsen A.
7762
Mannarino A.
6540

Alex Michelsen defeated Adrian Mannarino 7-6 6-4 in the Mallorca round of 16 on grass. The upset overturned the form book — Adrian Mannarino came in ranked #40, defending last year's final, but Alex Michelsen had been the form player, winning 3 of their last 5 on grass. Alex Michelsen extended the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

Head to head

11
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-03-31HoustonR16clayAlex Michelsen6-7(0) 6-4 6-2
2023-07-17NewportFgrassAdrian Mannarino6-2 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Michelsen A.serving90% hold

wins 70% of points on serve vs Mannarino A.

Mannarino A.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Michelsen A.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
67%
60%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
51%
Service points won·Even
64%
62%
Return points won·Even
37%
36%
Break points saved·Even
62%
58%
Aces / match·Even
4.9
4.5
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.4
2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (157 vs 144). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
78
65
Break points saved·Even
98
96
Break points won·Clear edge
46
66
Deciding sets·Clear edge
91
72
Tiebreaks·Dominant
96
38

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.6+57 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.4Grass Elo 1653
7.0Overall Elo 1825
ELO gap
3.0Overall Elo 1673
0.0
H2H
10.0
5.9
Surface form
6.4
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
6.7
Minutes 14d
7.1
3-set count
7.0
8.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
67
69

Michelsen A.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 55 games (7d) · Mannarino A.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 46 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast