Alex Michelsen vs Adrian MannarinoHouston Round of 16

Houston · ATP · Round of 16
#46ATP
1825ELO
1694Clay ELO
$785kYTD
$4.6MCAREER
21 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLWWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 31 March 2025
clay
#40ATP
1673ELO
1488Clay ELO
$633kYTD
$15MCAREER
38 yrs · 180 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLLWLWW
Michelsen A.
6-7 6-4 6-2
Mannarino A.
Michelsen A.
60662
Mannarino A.
77421

Alex Michelsen defeated Adrian Mannarino 6-7 6-4 6-2 in the Houston round of 16 on clay. Alex Michelsen extended the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

Head to head

11
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-06-24MallorcaR16grassAlex Michelsen7-6(5) 6-4
2023-07-17NewportFgrassAdrian Mannarino6-2 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Michelsen A.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Mannarino A.

Mannarino A.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Michelsen A.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
66%
60%
1st serve points won·Even
71%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
51%
Service points won·Even
64%
63%
Return points won·Even
36%
38%
Break points saved·Even
62%
59%
Aces / match·Slight edge
5.4
4.6
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.6
1.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (76 vs 93). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
78
65
Break points saved·Even
98
96
Break points won·Clear edge
46
66
Deciding sets·Clear edge
91
72
Tiebreaks·Dominant
96
38

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
4.6
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.0+207 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.0Clay Elo 1488
7.0Overall Elo 1825
ELO gap
3.0Overall Elo 1673
5.0
H2H
5.0
3.4
Surface form
0.8
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
8.5
Minutes 14d
7.2
7.0
3-set count
7.0
6.0
Prev. match
9.0
6.0
Surface transition
6.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
67
69

Michelsen A.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 55 games (7d) · Mannarino A.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 46 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast