Jannik Sinner vs Alex MichelsenMiami Masters Round of 16

Miami Masters · ATP · Round of 16
#1ATP
2320ELO
2263Hard ELO
$6.9MYTD
$65MCAREER
24 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWWLWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 18 March 2026
hard
#46ATP
1825ELO
1810Hard ELO
$785kYTD
$4.6MCAREER
21 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLWWLW
Sinner J.
7-5 7-6
Michelsen A.
Sinner J.
7772
Michelsen A.
5640

Jannik Sinner defeated Alex Michelsen 7-5 7-6 in the Miami Masters round of 16 on hard. The result followed the form book — Jannik Sinner came in ranked #1, leading the head-to-head 2–0. Jannik Sinner extended the head-to-head to 3–0.

Key context

Head to head

20
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-08-26US OpenR64hardJannik Sinner6-4 6-0 6-2
2024-08-12Cincinnati MastersR32hardJannik Sinner6-4 7-5

Serve vs return

This season
Sinner J.serving95% hold

wins 75% of points on serve vs Michelsen A.

Michelsen A.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Sinner J.

Serve advantage — Sinner J.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Sinner J.Michelsen A.
100
Serve
34
100
Return
46

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
65%
67%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
80%
73%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
60%
52%
Service points won·Slight edge
73%
66%
Return points won·Slight edge
42%
36%
Break points saved·Slight edge
76%
68%
Aces / match·Clear edge
8.8
6.4
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.3
2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (31 vs 24). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
100
78
Break points saved·Even
100
98
Break points won·Dominant
100
46
Deciding sets·Slight edge
100
91
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
100
95

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
9.3
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
10.0+453 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
0.0Hard Elo 1810
10.0Overall Elo 2320
ELO gap
0.0Overall Elo 1825
10.0
H2H
0.0
9.2
Surface form
5.7
9.07-match win streak
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
4.8
Minutes 14d
5.8
3-set count
7.0
7.0
Prev. match
9.0
6.9
Country comfort
7.3
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
59
61

Sinner J.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 95 games (7d) · Michelsen A.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 78 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
21°CDrizzle
Wind 14 km/hHumidity 81%