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Arthur Rinderknech vs Miomir Kecmanovic — Stockholm Round of 32

StockholmR32HardTue 10 Nov · 11:00
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winClear favourite · Rinderknech A.
74%26%

Clear edge for Rinderknech A. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 4 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Rinderknech A.5.9/10
Even match
Kecmanovic M.5.2/10
Clear underdog
Why
Surface+39 Hard Elo edgeSupports Rinderknech A.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1780Supports Rinderknech A.
Head-to-headLeads 2–1 on hardSupports Rinderknech A.
This eventReached the last 16 here last yearAgainst the prediction · Kecmanovic M.
Long matches1 three-setter in 14 daysSupports Rinderknech A.
ELO1 977
Hard ELO1 834
Last 104–6
Age31
Height196 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $7.6M2026 $1.3M
ELO1 834
Hard ELO1 695
Last 102–8
Age27
Height183 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $9.2M2026 $980K

Arthur Rinderknech faces Miomir Kecmanovic in the Stockholm round of 32 on hard. Arthur Rinderknech holds the paper edge — ranked #58, leading the head-to-head 3–1, a roughly 40-point hard Elo advantage.

Key context

Common opponents

7 shared · last 12 months

Rinderknech A. and Kecmanovic M. faced 7 of the same opponents in the last 12 months. Rinderknech A. went 2–5 (29%) against them, Kecmanovic M. 3–10 (23%). Results against comparable opponents are close (1 : 1 better-results split).

2–529%Rinderknech A. · better vs 1Record vs common opponents3–1023%Kecmanovic M. · better vs 1
Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines
9–12Sets13–20
115–114Games157–170
3–6Tiebreaks1–3
1–2Deciding sets0–7
Show 4 more ▾Show less ▴

Head-to-head

4 meetings · Rinderknech A. leads 3–1
31

Hard: Rinderknech A. leads 2–1 · Clay: Rinderknech A. leads 1–0

Evidence

Rinderknech A.Kecmanovic M.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss4–6 (ahead)2–8
Season win rate46% (21–25) (ahead)42% (22–31)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO1977 (ahead)1834
Hard-court ELO1834 (ahead)1695
Serve vs returnLast 41 vs 53 matches
1st-serve points won78% (ahead)71%
Return points won33%35% (ahead)
Aces / match12.6 (ahead)4.7
ClutchLast 41 vs 53 matches
Break points saved69% (ahead)64%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

11:00 local
SurfaceHard · medium
Forecast5°C · Overcast
Wind10 km/h
Humidity73%

Court pace medium: balanced pace.

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days
Rinderknech A.Kecmanovic M.
4Days since last match8 — fresher
3Matches · 7 days0 — fresher
73Games · 7 days0 — fresher
4Matches · 14 days2 — fresher
96Games · 14 days64 — fresher
Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Arthur Rinderknech vs Miomir Kecmanovic — Stockholm Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-11-10/kecmanovic-vs-rinderknech-stockholm-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 10 November 2026).