Sho Shimabukuro vs Arthur Rinderknech — US Open Round of 128
FRA26
Shimabukuro S.
Sho Shimabukuro faces Arthur Rinderknech in the US Open round of 128 on hard. Arthur Rinderknech holds the paper edge — ranked #29, defending last year's round of 16, a roughly 140-point hard Elo advantage.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 13:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Clear favourite · Rinderknech A. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Sho Shimabukuro comes in with 6 days of rest and 19 games in 14d, vs Arthur Rinderknech's 13 and 36.
- Under pressure: In the tight moments, Arthur Rinderknech has rated higher under pressure (Clutch Rating 45 vs 0).
- Surface form: Sho Shimabukuro 1 of 4, Arthur Rinderknech 2 of 4 on hard recently — Arthur Rinderknech the sharper of late.
Common opponents
Last 12 monthsUmpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (36 vs 28). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadShimabukuro S.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 19 games (7d) · Rinderknech A.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.