Holger Rune vs Taylor FritzIndian Wells Masters Round of 16

Indian Wells Masters · ATP · Round of 16
#81ATP
1757ELO
1725Hard ELO
$0YTD
$16MCAREER
23 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWLWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 4 March 2024
hard
#10ATP
1909ELO
1839Hard ELO
$1.6MYTD
$31MCAREER
28 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWWWW
Rune H.
2-6 7-6 6-3
Fritz T.
Rune H.
27762
Fritz T.
66231

Holger Rune defeated Taylor Fritz 2-6 7-6 6-3 in the Indian Wells Masters round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Taylor Fritz came in ranked #10, leading the head-to-head 2–0, defending last year's quarter-final. Holger Rune claimed a first win over Taylor Fritz in three meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

Head to head

02
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-10-02Shanghai MastersR16hardTaylor Fritz6-1 6-2
2023-03-20Miami MastersR16hardTaylor Fritz6-3 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Rune H.serving90% hold

wins 70% of points on serve vs Fritz T.

Fritz T.serving93% hold

wins 73% of points on serve vs Rune H.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Rune H.Fritz T.
47
Serve
76
58
Return
32

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
64%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
73%
79%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
55%
Service points won·Even
66%
70%
Return points won·Even
36%
35%
Break points saved·Slight edge
64%
69%
Aces / match·Dominant
6.0
11.7
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.9
1.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (120 vs 168). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
91
87
Break points saved·Even
99
100
Break points won·Clear edge
84
60
Deciding sets·Even
98
98
Tiebreaks·Even
99
99

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
8.2
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.8Hard Elo 1725
Surface ELO
7.2+114 Hard Elo edge
2.5Overall Elo 1757
ELO gap
7.5Overall Elo 1909
0.0
H2H
10.0
7.2
Surface form
7.8
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
5.4
Minutes 14d
8.4
7.0
3-set count
7.0
8.0
Prev. match
6.0
Country comfort
7.6
Context
6.0
Defending pts
7.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
72

Fritz T.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 61 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
20°CClear
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 29%