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Tereza Valentova vs Alexandra Eala — Hong Kong Tennis Open - Hong Kong Round of 16

Hong Kong Tennis Open - Hong KongR16HardThu 5 Nov · 18:30Centre Court · After 2 matches
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winSlight edge · Eala A.
39%61%

Eala A. favoured, but within the range where form on the day decides.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Valentova T.6.5/10
Marginal edge
Eala A.6.1/10
Even match
Why
Surface+36 Hard Elo edgeSupports Eala A.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1895Supports Eala A.
Head-to-headLeads 2–0 on hardAgainst the prediction · Valentova T.
Long matches1 three-setter in 14 daysAgainst the prediction · Valentova T.
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 875
Hard ELO1 775
Last 107–3
Age19
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $1.3M2026 $774K
ELO1 980
Hard ELO1 819
Last 105–5
Age21
PlaysLeft
EarningsCareer $3.4M2026 $2.1M

Tereza Valentova faces Alexandra Eala in the Hong Kong Tennis Open - Hong Kong round of 16 on hard. Alexandra Eala is the paper favourite — ranked #17, a roughly 40-point hard Elo advantage — but Tereza Valentova has won both their previous meetings. Tereza Valentova brings the better recent hard form (7 of 10).

Key context

Common opponents

13 shared · last 12 months

Valentova T. and Eala A. faced 13 of the same opponents in the last 12 months. Valentova T. went 8–7 (53%) against them, Eala A. 13–6 (68%). Eala A. came out better against 5 of 13 comparable opponents, Valentova T. against 1 — though 1 of those edges carries caveats (retirement).

8–753%Valentova T. · better vs 1Record vs common opponents13–668%Eala A. · better vs 5
Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines
18–15Sets27–15
163–155Games210–175
1–5Tiebreaks2–1
2–1Deciding sets3–1
Show 10 more ▾Show less ▴

Head-to-head

2 meetings · Valentova T. leads 2–0
20

Evidence

Valentova T.Eala A.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss7–3 (ahead)5–5
Season win rate59% (30–21)64% (45–25) (ahead)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO18751980 (ahead)
Hard-court ELO17751819 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 51 vs 69 matches
1st-serve points won64% (ahead)63%
Return points won46% (ahead)45%
Aces / match2.5 (ahead)1.4
ClutchLast 51 vs 69 matches
Break points saved55%57% (ahead)

When it starts

Centre Court · After 2 matches · Not before 6:30 PM

Draw

Odds

Conditions

Centre Court · 18:30 local
SurfaceHard
Forecast25°C · Clear
Wind6 km/h
Humidity84%

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days
Valentova T.Eala A.
1Days since last match1
1 — fresherMatches · 7 days3
21 — fresherGames · 7 days74
5Matches · 14 days5
104 — fresherGames · 14 days111
Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Tereza Valentova vs Alexandra Eala — Hong Kong Tennis Open - Hong Kong Round of 16", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-11-05/eala-vs-valentova-hong-kong-tennis-open-hong-kong-r16?utm_source=cite (as of 5 November 2026).