Tereza Valentova faces Alexandra Eala in the Hong Kong Tennis Open - Hong Kong round of 16 on hard. Alexandra Eala is the paper favourite — ranked #17, a roughly 40-point hard Elo advantage — but Tereza Valentova has won both their previous meetings. Tereza Valentova brings the better recent hard form (7 of 10).
Valentova T. and Eala A. faced 13 of the same opponents in the last 12 months. Valentova T. went 8–7 (53%) against them, Eala A. 13–6 (68%). Eala A. came out better against 5 of 13 comparable opponents, Valentova T. against 1 — though 1 of those edges carries caveats (retirement).
Umpiry, "Tereza Valentova vs Alexandra Eala — Hong Kong Tennis Open - Hong Kong Round of 16", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-11-05/eala-vs-valentova-hong-kong-tennis-open-hong-kong-r16?utm_source=cite (as of 5 November 2026).