Alexandra Eala vs Elina SvitolinaWashington Quarter-final

Washington · WTA · Quarter-final
#20WTA
1895ELO
1833Hard ELO
$1.3MYTD
$2.6MCAREER
21 yrs · 173 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Saturday, 1 August 2026 ·
hard
STADIUM · 4th on
#9WTA
2070ELO
1997Hard ELO
$3.5MYTD
$30MCAREER
31 yrs · 174 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWLLWLWW
Eala A.
6-3 6-4
Svitolina E.
Eala A.
662
Svitolina E.
340

Alexandra Eala defeated Elina Svitolina 6-3, 6-4 in the quarterfinals of the Washington tournament. Eala served 1 ace and 1 double fault, while Svitolina had 4 of each. Eala converted 38% of her break points and won 68% of her first-serve points, compared to 59% and 33% for Svitolina; Eala had 5 service breaks to Svitolina's 3.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-06-19BerlinQFgrassAlexandra Eala3-6 4-6

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
64%
61%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
62%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
48%
Service points won·Even
57%
60%
Return points won·Even
45%
46%
Break points saved·Slight edge
56%
63%
Aces / match·Clear edge
1.1
3.4
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.5
2.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (42 vs 42). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
45
91
Break points saved·Dominant
12
83
Break points won·Clear edge
83
99
Deciding sets·Clear edge
74
98
Tiebreaks·
93

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 20:50 UTC
Eala A.34%
Svitolina E.66%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Svitolina E. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
7.0
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.9Hard Elo 1832
Surface ELO
7.1+165 Hard Elo edge
2.8Overall Elo 1895
ELO gap
7.2Overall Elo 2070
5.0First meeting on hard
H2H
5.0First meeting on hard
7.27 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
7.07 of last 10 on hard
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
50
68

Eala A.: played today · 4 matches, 98 games (7d) · Svitolina E.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 68 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
30°CClear
Wind 3 km/hHumidity 40%

Draw