Tereza Valentova vs Aliaksandra Sasnovich — Athens Round of 16
Valentova T.
Tereza Valentova faces Aliaksandra Sasnovich in the Athens round of 16 on hard. Tereza Valentova holds the paper edge — ranked #49, a roughly 100-point hard Elo advantage.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 23:20 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Clear favourite · Valentova T. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Tereza Valentova comes in with 14 days of rest and 19 games in 14d, vs Aliaksandra Sasnovich's 19 and 0.
- Last match: Aliaksandra Sasnovich dropped the opening set before beating Anna Blinkova 3–6 6–2 6–2.
- Last match: Tereza Valentova dropped just 3 games past Sofia Costoulas.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (19 vs 31). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Serve & return on hard
Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About
Freshness
Recent loadValentova T.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Sasnovich A.: 19 days rest. Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.