Sorana Cirstea vs Mary Stoiana — Hong Kong Tennis Open - Hong Kong Round of 16
Why
Surface+348 Hard Elo edgeSupports Cirstea S.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1956Supports Cirstea S.
Long matches1 three-setter in 14 daysAgainst the prediction · Stoiana M.
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO2 026
Hard ELO1 883
Last 105–5
Age36
EarningsCareer $13.2M2026 $2.4M
ELO1 807
Hard ELO1 704
Last 107–3
Age23
EarningsCareer $421K2026 $260K
Sorana Cirstea faces Mary Stoiana in the Hong Kong Tennis Open - Hong Kong round of 16 on hard. Sorana Cirstea is the paper favourite — ranked #15, a roughly 350-point hard Elo advantage — but Mary Stoiana arrives in form, winning 7 of their last 10 on hard to Sorana Cirstea's 5 of 10.
Key context
- Freshness: Sorana Cirstea comes in with 1 days of rest and 77 games in 14d, vs Mary Stoiana's 2 and 57.
- Last match: Mary Stoiana dropped just 5 games past Venus Williams.
- Surface form: Sorana Cirstea 5 of 10, Mary Stoiana 7 of 10 on hard recently — Mary Stoiana the sharper of late.
Common opponents
2 shared · last 12 monthsCirstea S. and Stoiana M. faced 2 of the same opponents in the last 12 months. Cirstea S. went 0–2 (0%) against them, Stoiana M. 0–2 (0%).
0–20%Cirstea S. · better vs 0Record vs common opponents0–20%Stoiana M. · better vs 0
Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines
1–4Sets1–4
26–28Games21–32
0–1Tiebreaks1–1
0–1Deciding sets0–1
Only 2 common opponents — too few for any conclusion. Shown without assessment.
vs Eala A.#17L5-7 4-6Dubai · hardL1-6 2-6US Open · hard
vs Guo H.#213L6-1 6-7(6) 5-7Wuhan · hardL6-7 7-6 5-7Midland 125 · hard
Head-to-head
They have not met before.
Evidence
Cirstea S.Stoiana M.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss5–57–3 (ahead)
Season win rate69% (41–18) (ahead)63% (45–26)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO2026 (ahead)1807
Hard-court ELO1883 (ahead)1704
Serve vs returnLast 57 vs 68 matches
1st-serve points won68% (ahead)62%
Return points won46% (ahead)45%
Aces / match4.1 (ahead)1.5
ClutchLast 57 vs 68 matches
Break points saved55%55%
Draw
Odds
Cite this
Umpiry, "Sorana Cirstea vs Mary Stoiana — Hong Kong Tennis Open - Hong Kong Round of 16", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-11-05/cirstea-vs-stoiana-hong-kong-tennis-open-hong-kong-r16?utm_source=cite (as of 5 November 2026).