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Himeno Sakatsume vs Tereza Valentova — Hong Kong Tennis Open - Hong Kong Round of 32

Hong Kong Tennis Open - Hong KongR32HardTue 3 Nov · 10:00
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winClear favourite · Valentova T.
28%72%

Clear edge for Valentova T. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 4 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Sakatsume H.5.2/10
Clear underdog
Valentova T.7.2/10
Strong advantage
Why
Surface+198 Hard Elo edgeSupports Valentova T.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1818Supports Valentova T.
Recent run2-match win streakAgainst the prediction · Sakatsume H.
Head-to-headLeads 2–0 on hardSupports Valentova T.
Long matches1 three-setter in 14 daysAgainst the prediction · Sakatsume H.
ELO1 752
Hard ELO1 689
Last 105–5
Age25
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $587K2026 $267K
ELO1 869
Hard ELO1 769
Last 107–3
Age19
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $1.3M2026 $757K

Himeno Sakatsume faces Tereza Valentova in the Hong Kong Tennis Open - Hong Kong round of 32 on hard. Tereza Valentova holds the paper edge — ranked #87, leading the head-to-head 2–0, a roughly 200-point hard Elo advantage.

Key context

Common opponents

3 shared · last 12 months

Sakatsume H. and Valentova T. faced 3 of the same opponents in the last 12 months. Sakatsume H. went 1–2 (33%) against them, Valentova T. 2–1 (67%). Results against comparable opponents are close (0 : 1 better-results split).

1–233%Sakatsume H. · better vs 0Record vs common opponents2–167%Valentova T. · better vs 1
Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines
2–4Sets5–2
23–31Games37–33
0–0Tiebreaks3–0
0–0Deciding sets0–1

Only 3 common opponents — small sample, treat as indicative.

Head-to-head

2 meetings · Valentova T. leads 2–0
02

Evidence

Sakatsume H.Valentova T.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss5–57–3 (ahead)
Season win rate54% (34–29)58% (29–21) (ahead)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO17521869 (ahead)
Hard-court ELO16891769 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 57 vs 50 matches
1st-serve points won62%64% (ahead)
Return points won44%46% (ahead)
Aces / match1.82.5 (ahead)
ClutchLast 57 vs 50 matches
Break points saved56% (ahead)55%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

10:00 local
SurfaceHard
Forecast25°C · Drizzle
Wind20 km/h
Humidity79%

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days
Sakatsume H.Valentova T.
1Days since last match5 — fresher
2Matches · 7 days2
36 — fresherGames · 7 days37
3 — fresherMatches · 14 days5
52 — fresherGames · 14 days108
Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Himeno Sakatsume vs Tereza Valentova — Hong Kong Tennis Open - Hong Kong Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-11-03/sakatsume-vs-valentova-hong-kong-tennis-open-hong-kong-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 3 November 2026).