Casper Ruud vs Rafael Jodar — Rolex Paris Masters - Paris Round of 32
Why
Surface+16 Hard Elo edgeAgainst the prediction · Ruud C.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1999Supports Jodar R.
Head-to-headLeads 1–0 on hardSupports Jodar R.
Long matches1 three-setter in 14 daysSupports Jodar R.
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO2 091
Hard ELO1 863
Last 106–4
Age27
Height183 cm
EarningsCareer $29.4M2026 $2.2M
ELO2 095
Hard ELO1 881
Last 107–3
Age20
Height191 cm
EarningsCareer $2.8M2026 $2.5M
Casper Ruud faces Rafael Jodar in the Rolex Paris Masters - Paris round of 32 on hard. Rafael Jodar holds the paper edge — ranked #10, leading the head-to-head 1–0. Recent hard form is closely matched.
Key context
- Serve & return: Casper Ruud brings the bigger serve (Serve Rating 48), Rafael Jodar the stronger return game (Return Rating 80).
- Last match: Casper Ruud dropped just 5 games past Juan Manuel Cerundolo.
- Last match: Rafael Jodar dropped just 5 games past Alejandro Tabilo.
Common opponents
13 shared · last 12 monthsRuud C. and Jodar R. faced 13 of the same opponents in the last 12 months. Ruud C. went 9–6 (60%) against them, Jodar R. 9–6 (60%). Results against comparable opponents are close (4 : 2 better-results split).
9–660%Ruud C. · better vs 4Record vs common opponents9–660%Jodar R. · better vs 2
Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines
20–13Sets21–18
178–144Games193–179
2–3Tiebreaks3–5
1–1Deciding sets4–3
vs Sinner J.#2L4-6 4-6Rome Masters · clayL2-6 6-7Madrid Masters · clay
vs De Minaur A.#9W6-3 6-3United Cup · hardW6-3 6-1Madrid Masters · clay
vs Lehecka J.#15W6-3 6-4Rome Masters · clayW6-3 6-3Montreal · hard
Show 10 more ▾Show less ▴
- vs Mensik J.#16L5-7 6-7United Cup · hardL2-6 4-6 4-6Australian Open · hard
vs Davidovich Fokina A.#17W6-3 6-1Madrid Masters · clayL6-1 6-7(5) 4-6Shanghai Masters · hard
vs Tien L.#19W6-4 7-6(3)Shanghai Masters · hardW6-1 6-4Rome Masters · clay- vs Darderi L.#21W6-1 6-1Rome Masters · clayL6-7 7-5 0-6Rome Masters · clay
- vs Musetti L.#24W6-3 6-1Rome Masters · clayW1-6 6-1 6-4Washington · hard
vs Vacherot V.#27W3-6 6-3 6-4Indian Wells Masters · hardL6-7(4) 6-2 6-7(5)Basel · hard
vs Fonseca J.#41L5-7 7-5 2-6Roland Garros · clayW7-6 4-6 6-1Madrid Masters · clay
vs Borges N.#49L6-1 3-6 4-6Basel · hardW7-6 6-4Rome Masters · clay
vs Yunchaokete B.#93W6-1 7-6(2)Shanghai Masters · hardL2-6 1-6 1-6US Open · hard
vs Moutet C.#110W7-5 6-3Monte Carlo Masters · clayW4-6 6-1 6-3Montreal · hard
Evidence
Ruud C.Jodar R.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss6–47–3 (ahead)
Season win rate61% (31–20)75% (58–19) (ahead)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO20912095 (ahead)
Hard-court ELO18631881 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 50 vs 72 matches
1st-serve points won72% (ahead)70%
Return points won37%41% (ahead)
Aces / match6.3 (ahead)4.5
ClutchLast 50 vs 72 matches
Break points saved67% (ahead)63%
Draw
Odds
Cite this
Umpiry, "Casper Ruud vs Rafael Jodar — Rolex Paris Masters - Paris Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-11-03/jodar-vs-ruud-rolex-paris-masters-paris-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 3 November 2026).