UMPIRY
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Alexander Zverev vs Tallon Griekspoor — Vienna Round of 16

ViennaR16HardThu 29 Oct · 17:30
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winStrong favourite · Zverev A.
90%10%

Clear edge for Zverev A. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 10 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Zverev A.8.1/10
Dominant favourite
Griekspoor T.5.7/10
Slight disadvantage
Why
Surface+265 Hard Elo edgeSupports Zverev A.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 2100Supports Zverev A.
Recent run6-match win streakAgainst the prediction · Griekspoor T.
Head-to-headLeads 5–3 on hardSupports Zverev A.
This eventReached the final here last yearSupports Zverev A.
ELO2 312
Hard ELO2 133
Last 108–2
Age29
Height198 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $68.6M2026 $9.0M
ELO1 925
Hard ELO1 832
Last 106–4
Age30
Height188 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $8.3M2026 $1.2M

Alexander Zverev faces Tallon Griekspoor in the Vienna round of 16 on hard. Alexander Zverev is the paper favourite — ranked #2, leading the head-to-head 9–3, defending last year's final — but Tallon Griekspoor rides a 6-match win streak.

Key context

Common opponents

10 shared · last 12 months
All 10 opponents →

Zverev A. and Griekspoor T. faced 10 of the same opponents in the last 12 months. Zverev A. went 14–1 (93%) against them, Griekspoor T. 6–4 (60%). Zverev A. came out better against 3 of 9 comparable opponents, Griekspoor T. against 0.

14–193%Zverev A. · better vs 3Record vs common opponents6–460%Griekspoor T. · better vs 0
Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines
35–9Sets15–12
260–189Games142–137
8–2Tiebreaks5–3
3–0Deciding sets3–2
Show 7 more ▾Show less ▴

Head-to-head

12 meetings · Zverev A. leads 9–3
Full H2H →
93

Hard: Zverev A. leads 5–3 · Clay: Zverev A. leads 3–0 · Grass: Zverev A. leads 1–0

Evidence

Zverev A.Griekspoor T.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss8–2 (ahead)6–4
Season win rate81% (63–15) (ahead)43% (20–26)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO2312 (ahead)1925
Hard-court ELO2133 (ahead)1832
Serve vs returnLast 76 vs 42 matches
1st-serve points won77% (ahead)74%
Return points won37% (ahead)32%
Aces / match10.4 (ahead)9.3
ClutchLast 76 vs 42 matches
Break points saved61%61%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

17:30 local
SurfaceHard · fast
Forecast12°C · Overcast
Wind11 km/h
Humidity73%

Court pace fast: big serves, short points.

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days
Zverev A.Griekspoor T.
1Days since last match3 — fresher
1 — fresherMatches · 7 days4
34 — fresherGames · 7 days113
3 — fresherMatches · 14 days5
85 — fresherGames · 14 days151
Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Alexander Zverev vs Tallon Griekspoor — Vienna Round of 16", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-29/griekspoor-vs-zverev-vienna-r16?utm_source=cite (as of 29 October 2026).